Result
4:0
18/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 12
- Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (396/468) | 83% (302/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (396/468) | 83% (302/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 48% (21/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (94/116) | 68% (57/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 30% (9/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 3.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Lozano S. ⚽,
- 41', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
- 45+1', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 57', 2 - 0, Sylla Y. ⚽, Imaz J. (A),
- 58', Prip L. ↓, Wojtuszek N. ↑,
- 58', Sylla Y. ↓, Pululu A. ↑,
- 58', Lozano S. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
- 61', Nguiamba A. ↓, Vitalucci H. ↑,
- 61', Rusyn N. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
- 66', 3 - 0, Pululu A. ⚽,
- 70', 4 - 0, Pululu A. ⚽,
- 75', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
- 75', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
- 75', Kocyla D. ↓, Gojny D. ↑,
- 75', Wdowik B. ↓, Polak C. ↑,
- 82', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
58.3% | Draw
23.7% | Arka Gdynia
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.53) |
3.96 ↓
(4.19) |
5.21 ↓
(5.55) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Jagiellonia Białystok will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 5.
- Jagiellonia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Jagiellonia is the team to beat.
- We predict that Jagiellonia will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:10. (average 2.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Arka Gdynia?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Arka Gdynia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
