Result
19/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Arka Gdynia
29.6% | Draw
27.5% | Jagiellonia Białystok
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Arka Gdynia - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(3.05) |
3.36 ↑
(3.09) |
2.16 ↑
(2.09) |
8.1%
(13%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Arka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of home games.
- Jagiellonia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:27. (average 1:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Arka Gdynia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Arka Gdynia?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
18.10.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Arka Gdynia
4:0
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
