Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/04/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Exbud Arena (Kielce).

Ekstraklasa - Round 30
Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	1.84
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
2	5
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
72% (206/287)	83% (406/488)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	1.84
xG on target (xGOT)
2.30	1.06
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
2	8
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
6	11
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
2	5
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
21	22
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
15	15
Passes
72% (206/287)	83% (406/488)
Long passes
42% (25/59)	47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
54% (42/78)	65% (83/128)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.84	0.97
Throw-ins
15	18
Fouls
15	15
Tackles
80% (8/10)	75% (12/16)
Duels won
43	44
Clearances
22	21
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.06	2.30
Goals prevented
0.06	-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Pululu A. (Pen),
28', Matuszewski K. 🟨,
36', Pululu A. 🟨,
45+1', Kubicki J. ↓, Costa Silva T. ↑,
45+6', 1 - 1, Shikavka Y. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Resta P. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
60', 3 - 1, Fornalczyk M. ⚽,
61', Hansen K. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
64', Dlugosz W. 🟨,
69', Moutinho J. 🟨,
78', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,
78', Shikavka Y. ↓, Bak D. ↑,
81', Pululu A. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
81', Churlinov D. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
83', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
87', Dlugosz W. ↓, Pedro N. ↑,
87', Remacle M. ↓, Strzeboński M. ↑,
90+1', Blanik D. ↓, Konstantyn J. ↑,
90+4', Trojak M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Korona Kielce
29.5%

Draw
27.8%

Jagiellonia Białystok
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.9%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

28.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.89)	3.37 ↑ (3.23)	2.2 ↓ (2.4)	6.5% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 45% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Korona won 1.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Jagiellonia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Jagiellonia will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Korona: Hofmayster Y. (Injury) Nagamatsu S. (Injury) Pieczek M. (Broken rib)
There will not play in Jagiellonia: Diaby-Fadiga L. (Yellow Cards) Dieguez A. (Knee Injury) Sacek M. (Leg Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Korona won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 23:44 (average 1.2:2.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Korona won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:20 (average 1.3:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Jagiellonia Białystok?

Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Korona Kielce?

Jagiellonia Białystok has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:

27.10.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce 3:1

11.05.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce 3:0

28.02.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce 2:1

11.11.2023 Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2

15.04.2023 Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1

Latest results of Korona Kielce

19.04.2025 Piast Gliwice - Korona Kielce 1:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Korona Kielce - Widzew Łódź 2:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 2:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom 1:3 ✺

16.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok

21.04.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Zagłębie Lubin 1:3 ✺

17.04.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Betis 1:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:1 ✺

10.04.2025 Betis - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice 1:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wisla Plock	3	3	0	0	6:1	5	9
2	Cracovia	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
3	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
4	Radomiak Radom	2	1	1	0	6:2	4	4
5	Termalica B-B	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3
6	Legia	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
7	Widzew Lodz	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
8	Rakow	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
9	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	5:6	-1	3
10	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	5:7	-2	3
11	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
12	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	3:6	-3	3
13	Zaglebie	3	0	2	1	3:4	-1	2
14	GKS Katowice	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
15	Arka Gdynia	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
16	Korona Kielce	3	0	1	2	1:5	-4	1
17	Piast Gliwice	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
18	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	0	2	4:6	-2	-5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1