Result
3:1
27/04/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 30
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (206/287) | 83% (406/488) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (206/287) | 83% (406/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (42/78) | 65% (83/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Pululu A. (Pen),
- 28', Matuszewski K. 🟨,
- 36', Pululu A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Kubicki J. ↓, Costa Silva T. ↑,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, Shikavka Y. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 1, Resta P. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
- 60', 3 - 1, Fornalczyk M. ⚽,
- 61', Hansen K. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
- 64', Dlugosz W. 🟨,
- 69', Moutinho J. 🟨,
- 78', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,
- 78', Shikavka Y. ↓, Bak D. ↑,
- 81', Pululu A. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
- 81', Churlinov D. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
- 83', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
- 87', Dlugosz W. ↓, Pedro N. ↑,
- 87', Remacle M. ↓, Strzeboński M. ↑,
- 90+1', Blanik D. ↓, Konstantyn J. ↑,
- 90+4', Trojak M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce
29.5% | Draw
27.8% | Jagiellonia Białystok
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.19 ↑
(2.89) |
3.37 ↑
(3.23) |
2.2 ↓
(2.4) |
6.5%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Korona won 1.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Jagiellonia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Jagiellonia will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Korona: Hofmayster Y.
(Injury)
Nagamatsu S.
(Injury)
Pieczek M.
(Broken rib)
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Diaby-Fadiga L.
(Yellow Cards)
Dieguez A.
(Knee Injury)
Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Korona won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 23:44 (average 1.2:2.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Korona won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:20 (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Korona Kielce?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
27.10.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Korona Kielce
3:1
11.05.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Korona Kielce
3:0
28.02.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Korona Kielce
2:1
11.11.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:2
15.04.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:1
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Termalica B-B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Legia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Rakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Zaglebie | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:17 | -6 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
