Jagiellonia Białystok vs Korona Kielce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce
05/10/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia Białystok
48.2%
Draw
25.8%
Korona Kielce
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 24.4% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 26% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.84)
    3.62
    (3.8)
    3.57
    (3.7)
    7.4%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 3.
    • Jagiellonia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Korona is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Korona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of away games.
    • Jagiellonia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:24. (average 2.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:8. (average 2.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:1
    27.10.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce 3:1
    11.05.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce 3:0
    28.02.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce 2:1
    11.11.2023 Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1061315:8719
    2Cracovia953117:10718
    3Korona Kielce1053214:7718
    4Jagiellonia953116:12418
    5Wisla Plock952211:6517
    6Legia943212:6615
    7Lech Poznan943217:16115
    8Zaglebie934220:13713
    9Radomiak Radom1033417:18-112
    10Motor Lublin925211:14-311
    11Rakow932410:13-311
    12Widzew Lodz1031613:13010
    13Pogon Szczecin1031614:19-510
    14Termalica B-B1023513:17-49
    15Arka Gdynia102355:14-99
    16GKS Katowice1022611:21-108
    17Piast Gliwice81437:9-27
    18Lechia Gdansk1032518:25-76

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1