Jagiellonia Białystok vs KuPS Kuopio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
1:0
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Correia G. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.72
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
83% (377/453)86% (522/604)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.470.00
Total shots
177
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
3926
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
69
Passes
83% (377/453)86% (522/604)
Long passes
48% (14/29)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
79% (133/168)76% (118/155)
Crosses
25% (5/20)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.071.05
Throw-ins
1211
Fouls
96
Tackles
38% (5/13)47% (9/19)
Duels won
3747
Clearances
2730
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
xGOT faced
0.002.47
Goals prevented
0.001.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Pululu A. ⚽,
  • 63', Toure M. ↓, Voutilainen J. ↑,
  • 63', Pennanen P. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
  • 68', Rallis D. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
  • 68', Pozo A. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
  • 73', Hamalainen T. ↓, Armah B. ↑,
  • 79', Mazurek B. ↓, Prip L. ↑,
  • 82', Antwi C. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
  • 82', Arifi D. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
  • 87', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
  • 89', Miettinen S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Vital B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia Białystok
65.5%		Draw
21%		KuPS Kuopio
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 23.9% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 25.6% 15.1%

Jagiellonia Białystok - KuPS Kuopio Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.45 ↓
(1.58)		 4.51 ↑
(3.95)		 6.95 ↑
(5.84)		 5.4%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - KuPS Kuopio?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 25 - 83.3%). KuPS will win (votes: 3 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 70% – 96.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Jagiellonia (1.65) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Jagiellonia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • KuPS is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • KuPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Jagiellonia is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Imaz J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in KuPS: Agyei D. (Inactive) Salo R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in KuPS: Heinonen A. (Inactive) Pasanen S. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
    23.11.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - GKS Katowice Postponed ✺
    14.11.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 5:1
    09.11.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:2 ✺
    06.11.2025 Shkendija Tetovo - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    09.11.2025 HJK - KuPS Kuopio 0:2 ✺
    06.11.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Slovan Bratislava 3:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Inter Turku 3:2 ✺
    30.10.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan 1:1 ✺
    27.10.2025 SJK - KuPS Kuopio 0:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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