Jagiellonia Białystok vs KuPS Kuopio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Correia G. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
chinaChinaZhiBo8
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 15
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
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icelandIcelandViaplay
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norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 17
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.72
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
83% (377/453)86% (522/604)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.470.00
Total shots
177
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
3926
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
69
Passes
83% (377/453)86% (522/604)
Long passes
48% (14/29)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
79% (133/168)76% (118/155)
Crosses
25% (5/20)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.071.05
Throw-ins
1211
Fouls
96
Tackles
38% (5/13)47% (9/19)
Duels won
3747
Clearances
2730
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
xGOT faced
0.002.47
Goals prevented
0.001.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Pululu A. ,
  • 63', Toure M. , Voutilainen J. ,
  • 63', Pennanen P. , Golubickas P. ,
  • 68', Rallis D. , Flach L. ,
  • 68', Pozo A. , Drachal D. ,
  • 73', Hamalainen T. , Armah B. ,
  • 79', Mazurek B. , Prip L. ,
  • 82', Antwi C. , Luyeye-Lutumba J. ,
  • 82', Arifi D. , Sadiku A. ,
  • 87', Pietuszewski O. , Jackson A. ,
  • 89', Miettinen S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Vital B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia Białystok
65.5%
Draw
21%
KuPS Kuopio
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 23.9% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 25.6% 15.1%

Jagiellonia Białystok - KuPS Kuopio Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.45
(1.58)
4.51
(3.95)
6.95
(5.84)
5.4%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - KuPS Kuopio?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 25 - 83.3%). KuPS will win (votes: 3 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 70%96.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Jagiellonia (1.65) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jagiellonia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • KuPS is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • KuPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Jagiellonia is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Imaz J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in KuPS: Agyei D. (Inactive) Salo R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in KuPS: Heinonen A. (Inactive) Pasanen S. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    09.11.2025 HJK - KuPS Kuopio 0:2
    02.11.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Inter Turku 3:2
    30.10.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan 1:1
    27.10.2025 SJK - KuPS Kuopio 0:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg ✔ 54108:4413
    2Shakhtar Donetsk540110:5512
    3Rakow53208:2611
    4AEK Athens531111:5610
    5Samsunspor531110:4610
    6Sparta Prague53117:3410
    7Rayo Vallecano531110:7310
    8Mainz53115:3210
    9Crystal Palace53029:459
    10AEK Larnaca52306:159
    11Fiorentina53028:449
    12Celje53028:719
    13AZ Alkmaar53027:709
    14Rijeka52215:238
    15Omonia52215:328
    16Lausanne52215:328
    17Noah52216:518
    18Jagiellonia52215:418
    19Drita52214:5-18
    20Lech Poznan521210:737
    21Shkendija52124:407
    22Sigma Olomouc52126:7-17
    23Univ. Craiova52124:5-17
    24Lincoln Red Imps52126:11-57
    25KuPS51314:316
    26Zrinjski52037:9-26
    27Breidablik51225:8-35
    28Dyn. Kyiv51047:9-23
    29Hacken50325:7-23
    30Legia51044:7-33
    31Slovan Bratislava51044:9-53
    32Hamrun51043:8-53
    33Aberdeen50233:11-82
    34Shelbourne50140:7-71
    35Shamrock Rovers50144:12-81
    36SK Rapid50052:13-110

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Strasbourg is Qualified for Conference League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)