Result
1:0
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 4
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 15 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 17 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (377/453) | 86% (522/604) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (377/453) | 86% (522/604) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (14/29) | 47% (24/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (133/168) | 76% (118/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 0, Pululu A. ⚽,
- 63', Toure M. ↓, Voutilainen J. ↑,
- 63', Pennanen P. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
- 68', Rallis D. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
- 68', Pozo A. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
- 73', Hamalainen T. ↓, Armah B. ↑,
- 79', Mazurek B. ↓, Prip L. ↑,
- 82', Antwi C. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
- 82', Arifi D. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
- 87', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
- 89', Miettinen S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Vital B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
65.5% | Draw
21% | KuPS Kuopio
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia Białystok's performance.KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - KuPS Kuopio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.58) |
4.51 ↑
(3.95) |
6.95 ↑
(5.84) |
5.4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - KuPS Kuopio?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 25 - 83.3%). KuPS will win (votes: 3 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 70% – 96.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Jagiellonia (1.65) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Jagiellonia (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Jagiellonia (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Jagiellonia (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - KuPS (1.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 10 - 71.4%). KuPS (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Jagiellonia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- KuPS is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- KuPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jagiellonia is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Imaz J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in KuPS: Agyei D.
(Inactive)
Salo R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in KuPS: Heinonen A.
(Inactive)
Pasanen S.
(Injury)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against KuPS Kuopio?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
KuPS Kuopio has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - KuPS Kuopio were as follows:
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
