Result
2:1
07/12/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 18
- Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | FOX Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (168/238) | 89% (591/667) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (168/238) | 89% (591/667) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (17/46) | 64% (30/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (38/70) | 81% (196/241) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 18% (6/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 6 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, Drachal D. (Own goal),
- 30', Flach L. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Vital B. ⚽, Wdowik B. (A),
- 44', Kopacz B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Strzalek I. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
- 46', Ambrosiewicz M. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
- 60', Flach L. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
- 65', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Boboc R. ↑,
- 67', Mazurek B. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
- 67', Drachal D. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
- 73', Jimenez J. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Zapolnik K. ⚽, Boboc R. (A),
- 79', Wdowik B. 🟨,
- 83', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Termalica Nieciecza
27.8% | Draw
24.6% | Jagiellonia Białystok
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Termalica Nieciecza - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37 ↑
(3.03) |
3.83 ↑
(3.17) |
1.97 ↓
(2.11) |
6.6%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 58% – 94.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jagiellonia Białystok will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2.
- Termalica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jagiellonia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Jagiellonia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Termalica: Trubeha A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Cantero A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 0.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
18.07.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Termalica Nieciecza
0:4
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:12 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 30 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29:21 | 8 | 29 |
| 4 | Rakow | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 29 |
| 5 | Zaglebie | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 31:24 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Radomiak Radom | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 26 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 29:26 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:19 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 21 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23:28 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 21 |
| 13 | Lechia Gdansk | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 37:37 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
| 15 | Widzew Lodz | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 20 |
| 17 | Legia | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 19 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:35 | -11 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
