Jaguares de Chiapas vs Celaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 13

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, ,
  • 39', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Jaguares de Chiapas
37.5%
Draw
26.1%
Celaya
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 26.4% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 28.2% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jaguares de Chiapas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaguares de Chiapas's form might have worsened.
  • Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celaya's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Chiapas than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaguares de Chiapas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celaya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jaguares de Chiapas - Celaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.07)
    3.48
    (3.4)
    2.5
    (2.98)
    9.9%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by Chiapas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Celaya is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chiapas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Chiapas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Celaya
    Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Alacranes de Durango ✔ 2319010366:1467
    2Cimarrones de Sonora2413160442:1949
    3Tigres de Alica2414130641:2349
    4Leones Negros 22414020839:2646
    5Tecos2413040745:3145
    6Tritones Vallarta2311210929:2640
    7Los Cabos24110301037:3637
    8Mineros de Fresnillo249142833:3736
    9Guerreros de Autlan237052936:3829
    10Ensenada FC2480201429:5028
    11UA Zacatecas2470401326:4526
    12Reboceros de La Piedad2351111533:5720
    13ACF Zapotlanejo2350111637:6618
    14Colima FC2330301720:4513


    Group 2
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Apodaca ✔ 2418220246:1863
    2Santiago2312061431:2043
    3Halcones2410061740:2641
    4Zacatepec2410180524:1440
    5Matamoros2310050827:1937
    6Lobos ULMX2410060831:2437
    7Club Calor229071529:2335
    8Correcaminos 2248070925:2333
    9Chilpancingo247080929:3929
    10Cordobes FC2461601125:2726
    11Canamy235081932:4026
    12Zitacuaro234190920:2924
    13Ciervos2431421419:4318
    14Atletico Hidalgo2431411522:5516


    Group 3
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Racing de Veracruz ✔ 2220020049:867
    2Deportiva Venados2212141453:2446
    3Celaya2211131640:2642
    4Inter Playa Del Carmen2310241631:2839
    5Tapachula22110011045:3438
    6Montaneses229220930:2635
    7Pioneros2291111033:3333
    8Chiapas229023832:3132
    9Heroes de Zaci208021926:3727
    10Chapulineros2241601120:3221
    11Canoneros2142111319:4219
    12Neza FC2250201524:6019
    13Dragones Toluca2240301521:4217

          Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Alacranes de Durango is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Apodaca is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Racing de Veracruz is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )