Jaguares de Chiapas vs Celaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 13

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, ,
  • 39', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Jaguares de Chiapas
37.5%
Draw
26.1%
Celaya
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 26.4% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 28.2% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jaguares de Chiapas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaguares de Chiapas's form might have worsened.
  • Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celaya's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Chiapas than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaguares de Chiapas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celaya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jaguares de Chiapas - Celaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.07)
    3.48
    (3.4)
    2.5
    (2.98)
    9.9%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by Chiapas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Celaya is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chiapas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Chiapas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Celaya
    Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Alacranes de Durango ✔ 2016010354:1457
    2Cimarrones de Sonora2111160336:1543
    3Tigres de Alica2113020637:2043
    4Tecos2013020544:2843
    5Leones Negros 22112020734:2140
    6Tritones Vallarta2010200827:2436
    7Mineros de Fresnillo218132728:3332
    8Los Cabos2090101030:3129
    9Guerreros de Autlan207041832:3327
    10Ensenada FC2170201222:3925
    11UA Zacatecas1960301020:3422
    12Reboceros de La Piedad2050111326:4418
    13ACF Zapotlanejo2040101529:5714
    14Colima FC2020201616:429


    Group 2
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Apodaca ✔ 2115220240:1754
    2Santiago2010051426:1936
    3Zacatepec219070519:1035
    4Halcones218051735:2534
    5Correcaminos 2218060720:1532
    6Club Calor198061425:2231
    7Lobos ULMX218060725:1930
    8Matamoros208050722:1729
    9Cordobes FC216150923:2225
    10Chilpancingo216070827:3425
    11Zitacuaro214180818:2623
    12Canamy204071826:3421
    13Ciervos2131311316:3816
    14Atletico Hidalgo2031411121:4516


    Group 3
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Racing de Veracruz ✔ 1917020039:757
    2Celaya2011121538:2341
    3Deportiva Venados199141445:2137
    4Inter Playa Del Carmen209231529:2235
    5Chiapas199023530:2232
    6Montaneses198220726:2031
    7Pioneros198111827:2829
    8Tapachula1980011037:3128
    9Chapulineros194160818:2621
    10Heroes de Zaci186021921:3421
    11Neza FC1950201221:5019
    12Dragones Toluca2030301417:3813
    13Canoneros1822111213:3912

          Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Alacranes de Durango is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Apodaca is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Racing de Veracruz is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )