Result
1:0
19/03/2026 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Villa Zapata J. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (252/308) | 88% (478/542) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (252/308) | 88% (478/542) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (30/62) | 63% (42/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (38/60) | 73% (92/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 100% (5/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Rosales Y. ⚽, Lasso J. (A),
- 19', Ordonez C. 🟨,
- 21', Hinestroza J. 🟨,
- 29', Cantillo F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cantillo F. ↓, Esparragoza C. ↑,
- 55', Rodriguez Urango D. ↓, Viveros J. ↑,
- 58', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
- 61', Lopez D. ↓, Jimenez L. ↑,
- 62', Figueroa J. ↓, Fernandez W. ↑,
- 62', Londono Y. ↓, Moreno K. ↑,
- 78', Hinestroza J. ↓, Colpa Bolano R. R. ↑,
- 78', Jopito ↓, Cubides S. ↑,
- 78', Pardo F. ↓, Perez Balcazar J. E. ↑,
- 78', Castillo J. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
- 90+2', Lasso J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar
51.6% | Draw
27.5% | Jaguares de Córdoba
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Jaguares de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Valledupar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Alianza Valledupar - Jaguares de Córdoba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.68) |
3.35 ↓
(3.7) |
4.51 ↓
(4.95) |
7.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Jaguares de Córdoba?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Jaguares de Córdoba will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
- Recent form of Alianza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jaguares de Córdoba is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Alianza is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Jaguares de Córdoba?
Alianza Valledupar has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaguares de Córdoba won against Alianza Valledupar?
Jaguares de Córdoba has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Jaguares de Córdoba were as follows:
10.11.2024
Jaguares de Córdoba
-
Alianza Valledupar
0:0
20.04.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Jaguares de Córdoba
2:1
22.09.2023
Jaguares de Córdoba
-
Alianza Valledupar
0:0
14.04.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Jaguares de Córdoba
3:0
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 7 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | America De Cali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 9 | Millonarios | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 17 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 | Santa Fe | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Alianza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 19 | Chico | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 20 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
