Alianza Valledupar vs Jaguares de Córdoba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/03/2026 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau (Valledupar).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
Referee: Villa Zapata J. A. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.58	0.36
Ball possession
36%	64%
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
4	2
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
2	6
Passes
82% (252/308)	88% (478/542)
Yellow cards
3	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.58	0.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.21	0.09
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
1	5
Blocked shots
3	7
Shots inside the box
4	4
Shots outside the box
4	10
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
6	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free kicks
8	17
Passes
82% (252/308)	88% (478/542)
Long passes
48% (30/62)	63% (42/67)
Passes in final third
63% (38/60)	73% (92/126)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	0.88
Throw ins
17	17
Fouls
17	8
Tackles
54% (7/13)	100% (5/5)
Duels won
34	35
Clearances
24	10
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.09	1.21
Goals prevented
0.09	0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Rosales Y. ⚽, Lasso J. (A),
19', Ordonez C. 🟨,
21', Hinestroza J. 🟨,
29', Cantillo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cantillo F. ↓, Esparragoza C. ↑,
55', Rodriguez Urango D. ↓, Viveros J. ↑,
58', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
61', Lopez D. ↓, Jimenez L. ↑,
62', Figueroa J. ↓, Fernandez W. ↑,
62', Londono Y. ↓, Moreno K. ↑,
78', Hinestroza J. ↓, Colpa Bolano R. R. ↑,
78', Jopito ↓, Cubides S. ↑,
78', Pardo F. ↓, Perez Balcazar J. E. ↑,
78', Castillo J. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
90+2', Lasso J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2w82v39r

Chances of winning

Alianza Valledupar
51.6%

Draw
27.5%

Jaguares de Córdoba
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.3%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

20.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Jaguares de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Valledupar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Alianza Valledupar - Jaguares de Córdoba Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.68)	3.35 ↓ (3.7)	4.51 ↓ (4.95)	7.1% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Jaguares de Córdoba?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Jaguares de Córdoba will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza: 50.6% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
Recent form of Alianza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Jaguares de Córdoba is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Alianza is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Jaguares de Córdoba?

Alianza Valledupar has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jaguares de Córdoba won against Alianza Valledupar?

Jaguares de Córdoba has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Jaguares de Córdoba were as follows:

10.11.2024 Jaguares de Córdoba - Alianza Valledupar 0:0

20.04.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Jaguares de Córdoba 2:1

22.09.2023 Jaguares de Córdoba - Alianza Valledupar 0:0

14.04.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Jaguares de Córdoba 3:0

Latest results of Alianza Valledupar

14.03.2026 Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar 1:1 ✺

05.03.2026 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 1:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali 0:3 ✺

21.02.2026 Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar 3:0 ✺

17.02.2026 Alianza Valledupar - Cúcuta Deportivo 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Jaguares de Córdoba

15.03.2026 Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín 1:2 ✺

09.03.2026 Llaneros SA - Jaguares de Córdoba 2:0 ✺

04.03.2026 Fortaleza CEIF - Jaguares de Córdoba 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Jaguares de Córdoba - Junior Barranquilla 0:2 ✺

22.02.2026 América de Cali - Jaguares de Córdoba 3:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional ✔	15	11	1	3	30:11	19	34
2	Dep. Pasto	15	8	4	3	21:17	4	28
3	Deportes Tolima	15	7	6	2	24:13	11	27
4	Once Caldas	15	6	7	2	26:19	7	25
5	Junior	15	8	1	6	21:20	1	25
6	America De Cali	15	7	3	5	19:12	7	24
7	Dep. Cali	15	6	4	5	17:13	4	22
8	Aguilas	15	6	4	5	16:17	-1	22
9	Inter Bogotu00e1	15	5	7	3	18:20	-2	22
10	Millonarios	15	6	3	6	25:17	8	21
11	Llaneros	15	4	8	3	16:14	2	20
12	Bucaramanga	15	4	7	4	18:14	4	19
13	Santa Fe	15	4	7	4	18:19	-1	19
14	Ind. Medellin	14	4	5	5	19:19	0	17
15	Fortaleza	15	3	7	5	17:23	-6	16
16	Cucuta	16	3	6	7	21:27	-6	15
17	Alianza	15	3	6	6	10:22	-12	15
18	Jaguares de Cordoba	16	4	2	10	14:28	-14	14
19	Chico	14	3	2	9	11:21	-10	11
20	Pereira	15	0	6	9	14:29	-15	6

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )