Result
2:1
27/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (326/401) | 86% (494/572) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (326/401) | 86% (494/572) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (31/68) | 57% (27/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (88/119) | 76% (102/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Soma Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Okamura D. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 0, Erik ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 1, Ishikawa D. ⚽, Issaka Z. (A),
- 65', Issaka Z. ↓, Himeno M. ↑,
- 65', Carlinhos Junior ↓, Goya H. ↑,
- 66', Eduardo ↓, Igari Y. ↑,
- 70', Yengi T. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
- 79', Tsukui T. ↓, Yonekura K. ↑,
- 79', Lavi N. ↓, Mae H. ↑,
- 80', Erik ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 87', Igari Y. 🟨,
- 90+2', Nakamura H. 🟨,
- 90+4', Shirasaki R. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
- 90+4', Nakamura H. ↓, Masuyama A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia
54.7% | Draw
25.3% | JEF United Chiba
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Machida Zelvia's form might have worsened.JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting JEF United Chiba's recent form is better than expected.
Machida Zelvia - JEF United Chiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.47) |
3.67 ↓
(4.2) |
4.69 ↓
(7.11) |
6.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - JEF United Chiba?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). JEF United will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 2.
- Machida Zelvia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Machida Zelvia is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Mochizuki H.
(Injury)
Vasquez B.
(Injury)
- We predict that Machida Zelvia will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against JEF United Chiba?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JEF United Chiba won against Machida Zelvia?
JEF United Chiba has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - JEF United Chiba were as follows:
22.07.2023
Machida Zelvia
-
JEF United Chiba
1:3
03.06.2023
JEF United Chiba
-
Machida Zelvia
0:2
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of JEF United Chiba
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Machida | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Verdy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mito | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 10 | Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 5 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Okayama | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
