Result
2:2
09/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (282/363) | 81% (386/476) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (282/363) | 81% (386/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (41/76) | 40% (24/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (78/121) | 68% (109/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (11/25) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 89% (17/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | -0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Emenike K. ⚽, Dvorak A. (A),
- 17', Alekseiciks K. 🟨,
- 18', Rekis K. 🟨,
- 28', Kangars A. 🟨,
- 34', Becers R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 57', Rekis K. ↓, Ivulans M. ↑,
- 57', Cesnieks K. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,
- 58', Emenike K. ↓, Deruzinskis R. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 2, Deruzinskis R. ⚽,
- 63', Bangura A. ↓, Klavinskis R. ↑,
- 63', Saleh S. ↓, Evelons E. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Ivulans M. (Pen),
- 69', Becers R. ↓, Boroduska E. ↑,
- 69', Penkevics K. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 2, Evelons E. ⚽, Scremin G. (A),
- 83', Klavinskis R. 🟨,
- 84', Scremin G. ↓, Molotkovs A. ↑,
- 89', Polasek M. ↓, Janovskis A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Metta LU
21.4% | Draw
26.8% | Jelgava
51.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metta LU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta LU than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metta LU, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelgava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Metta LU - Jelgava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.44 ↑
(3.5) |
3.55 ↓
(3.68) |
1.84
(1.84) |
5.2%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Metta LU - Jelgava?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Metta will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Jelgava will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jelgava: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jelgava will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metta won 2.
- Recent performances by Metta have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jelgava is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Metta has had a series of away games.
- Jelgava might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metta won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metta won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Metta LU won against Jelgava?
Metta LU has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Metta LU?
Jelgava has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metta LU - Jelgava were as follows:
13.06.2025
Jelgava
-
Metta LU
2:1
18.04.2025
Metta LU
-
Jelgava
0:0
22.09.2024
Metta LU
-
Jelgava
2:0
01.07.2024
Jelgava
-
Metta LU
1:0
11.05.2024
Metta LU
-
Jelgava
3:0
Latest results of Metta LU
Latest results of Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 61:17 | 44 | 67 |
| 2 | RFS | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 70:25 | 45 | 64 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 44 |
| 4 | Auda | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:30 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 38:45 | -7 | 34 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 24 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 23 |
| 9 | Metta | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23:52 | -29 | 21 |
| 10 | Grobina | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 23:49 | -26 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
