Result
2:1
13/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (398/474) | 73% (224/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (398/474) | 73% (224/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (18/37) | 47% (34/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (108/156) | 45% (35/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (12/42) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 21% (3/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Rekis K. ⚽, Ivulans M. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Boroduska E. ⚽, Ullman O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Klavinskis R. ↓, Grabovskis K. ↑,
- 49', Veips R. 🟨,
- 57', Rekis K. 🟨,
- 67', Evelons E. ↓, Saleh S. ↑,
- 67', Scremin G. ↓, Bangura A. ↑,
- 70', Minkevics I. 🟨,
- 73', Promise V. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
- 73', Emenike K. ↓, Becers R. ↑,
- 79', Penkevics K. 🟨,
- 79', Rekis K. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Vilnis K. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Jelgava
58.8% | Draw
24.3% | Metta LU
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jelgava's performance.Metta LU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metta LU might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-14.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jelgava that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta LU than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metta LU could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jelgava - Metta LU Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.72) |
3.75 ↑
(3.57) |
5.42 ↑
(4.13) |
9.6%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Jelgava - Metta LU?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jelgava (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jelgava will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 1.
- Jelgava is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Metta has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Metta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jelgava is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Metta LU?
Jelgava has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metta LU won against Jelgava?
Metta LU has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - Metta LU were as follows:
18.04.2025
Metta LU
-
Jelgava
0:0
22.09.2024
Metta LU
-
Jelgava
2:0
01.07.2024
Jelgava
-
Metta LU
1:0
11.05.2024
Metta LU
-
Jelgava
3:0
29.03.2024
Jelgava
-
Metta LU
0:1
Latest results of Jelgava
Latest results of Metta LU
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
