Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (202/301) | 67% (227/337) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (202/301) | 67% (227/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (23/73) | 33% (20/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (51/88) | 55% (77/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 44 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Kacanovs G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Berzins L. ↓, Cirulis J. ↑,
- 46', Bombans G. ↓, Tihonovics M. ↑,
- 71', Bamba ↓, Skadmanis K. ↑,
- 78', Semesko M. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 1, Iida R. ⚽, Facu (A),
- 84', Kangars A. 🟨,
- 88', Janovskis A. ↓, Melkis R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Super Nova 33.3% | Draw 28.1% | Jelgava 38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Super Nova - Jelgava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.76 ↓ (2.78) |
3.28 ↑ (3.22) |
2.39 ↑ (2.32) |
8.6% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Super Nova - Jelgava?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jelgava (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jelgava will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Jelgava?
Super Nova has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Super Nova?
Jelgava has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Jelgava were as follows:
04.10.2025
Super Nova
-
Jelgava
1:1
20.07.2025
Jelgava
-
Super Nova
1:0
21.05.2025
Super Nova
-
Jelgava
0:0
05.04.2025
Jelgava
-
Super Nova
2:1
01.10.2023
Super Nova
-
Jelgava
1:1
Latest results of Super Nova
Latest results of Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | RFS | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Jelgava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Grobina | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | Riga FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 8 | Ogre United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Super Nova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | BFC Daugavpils | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga