Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (331/399) | 76% (256/335) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (331/399) | 76% (256/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (37/58) | 66% (50/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (138/179) | 63% (76/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Holoubek D. 🟨,
- 36', Glaudans A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Alekseiciks K. 🟥,
- 58', Deklavs A. 🟨,
- 71', Holoubek D. ↓, Zaleiko G. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 1, Hasek M. ⚽,
- 74', Cudars K. ↓, Bombans G. ↑,
- 77', Sula D. 🟨,
- 80', Emenike K. ↓, Deruzinskis R. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Skadmanis K. ⚽,
- 90+1', Marchuk A. ↓, Tihonovics M. ↑,
- 90+1', Sula D. ↓, Sitjakovs R. ↑,
- 90+2', Becers R. ↓, Boroduska E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Super Nova
26.9% | Draw
34.1% | Jelgava
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Super Nova's form might have worsened.Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Super Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Super Nova - Jelgava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.96 ↑
(2.75) |
3.13 ↓
(3.3) |
2.74 ↑
(2.37) |
-6.3%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0.
- Recent form of Super Nova has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Jelgava's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Super Nova has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Jelgava is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Jelgava?
Super Nova has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Super Nova?
Jelgava has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Jelgava were as follows:
20.07.2025
Jelgava
-
Super Nova
1:0
21.05.2025
Super Nova
-
Jelgava
0:0
05.04.2025
Jelgava
-
Super Nova
2:1
01.10.2023
Super Nova
-
Jelgava
1:1
09.07.2023
Jelgava
-
Super Nova
2:2
Latest results of Super Nova
Latest results of Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 81:21 | 60 | 86 |
| 2 | RFS | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 88:35 | 53 | 78 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 48:55 | -7 | 47 |
| 5 | Auda | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 39:41 | -2 | 44 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 37:62 | -25 | 31 |
| 8 | Grobina | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 30:56 | -26 | 30 |
| 9 | Super Nova | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 38:51 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Metta | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 31:69 | -38 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
