Result
1:0
20/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (378/455) | 73% (258/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (378/455) | 73% (258/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (40/61) | 41% (28/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (144/181) | 44% (26/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 52% (12/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Ullman O. ⚽, Holoubek D. (A),
- 27', Alekseiciks K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Yuzvak A. 🟨,
- 56', Cudars K. 🟨,
- 65', Deruzinskis R. ↓, Becers R. ↑,
- 71', Dione M. ↓, Sprukts E. ↑,
- 71', Zengis R. ↓, Emsis E. ↑,
- 71', Bombans G. ↓, Skadmanis K. ↑,
- 83', Hasek F. ↓, Boroduska E. ↑,
- 83', Muhammad Y. ↓, Zaleiko G. ↑,
- 84', Boroduska E. 🟨,
- 87', Hasek M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Emsis E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Holoubek D. ↓, Emenike K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jelgava
55.5% | Draw
24.4% | Super Nova
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jelgava's performance.Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Super Nova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jelgava that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Super Nova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jelgava - Super Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(2.1) |
3.76 ↑
(3.18) |
4.55 ↑
(3.2) |
9.3%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 1.
- Jelgava has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Super Nova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Jelgava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jelgava is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Super Nova?
Jelgava has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Jelgava?
Super Nova has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - Super Nova were as follows:
21.05.2025
Super Nova
-
Jelgava
0:0
05.04.2025
Jelgava
-
Super Nova
2:1
01.10.2023
Super Nova
-
Jelgava
1:1
09.07.2023
Jelgava
-
Super Nova
2:2
18.05.2023
Super Nova
-
Jelgava
2:2
Latest results of Jelgava
Latest results of Super Nova
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
