Result
0:0
21/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (291/378) | 80% (342/425) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (291/378) | 80% (342/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (28/65) | 58% (35/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (43/87) | 76% (91/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 19% (7/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Nakamura R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sula D. ↓, Gueye A. ↑,
- 46', Campos I. ↓, Becers R. ↑,
- 48', Alekseiciks K. 🟨,
- 50', Cudars K. 🟨,
- 54', Muhammad Y. 🟨,
- 61', Promise V. ↓, Janovskis A. ↑,
- 61', Emenike K. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
- 68', Glaudans A. ↓, Deruzinskis R. ↑,
- 68', Zengis R. ↓, Kante H. ↑,
- 77', Penkevics K. ↓, Purs V. ↑,
- 82', Nakamura R. ↓, Minins J. ↑,
- 83', Sitjakovs R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Super Nova
37.9% | Draw
28.5% | Jelgava
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Super Nova - Jelgava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(2.55) |
3.21 ↓
(3.4) |
2.72 ↑
(2.35) |
9.3%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Super Nova - Jelgava?
Users Predictions:
Super Nova will win
(34 of 40 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.93% – 96.07%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Super Nova will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 4).
- Recent performances by Super Nova have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Jelgava is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Jelgava has had a series of home games.
- Super Nova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Jelgava?
Super Nova has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Super Nova?
Jelgava has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Jelgava were as follows:
05.04.2025
Jelgava
-
Super Nova
2:1
01.10.2023
Super Nova
-
Jelgava
1:1
09.07.2023
Jelgava
-
Super Nova
2:2
18.05.2023
Super Nova
-
Jelgava
2:2
05.04.2023
Jelgava
-
Super Nova
2:0
Latest results of Super Nova
Latest results of Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 51:12 | 39 | 54 |
| 2 | RFS | 22 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 53:20 | 33 | 52 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 35 |
| 4 | Auda | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 26 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 24 |
| 7 | Grobina | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 20:41 | -21 | 19 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 25:31 | -6 | 18 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 23:39 | -16 | 18 |
| 10 | Metta | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Super Nova - Jelgava?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
