Super Nova vs Jelgava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Virsliga - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV, TV4

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.111.67
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
55
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
68
Passes
67% (202/301)67% (227/337)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
1.111.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.421.07
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
68
Shots inside the box
1011
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1929
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1912
Passes
67% (202/301)67% (227/337)
Long passes
32% (23/73)33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
58% (51/88)55% (77/141)
Crosses
29% (8/28)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.84
Throw ins
2444
Fouls
1219
Tackles
92% (11/12)70% (7/10)
Duels won
5751
Clearances
3729
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
1.070.42
Goals prevented
0.07-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Kacanovs G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Berzins L. , Cirulis J. ,
  • 46', Bombans G. , Tihonovics M. ,
  • 71', Bamba , Skadmanis K. ,
  • 78', Semesko M. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Iida R. , Facu (A),
  • 84', Kangars A. 🟨,
  • 88', Janovskis A. , Melkis R. ,

Chances of winning


Super Nova
33.3%
Draw
28.1%
Jelgava
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 28.2% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Super Nova - Jelgava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.78)
    3.28
    (3.22)
    2.39
    (2.32)
    8.6%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Super Nova - Jelgava?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jelgava (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Jelgava will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Jelgava were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Super Nova - Jelgava 1:1
    20.07.2025 Jelgava - Super Nova 1:0
    21.05.2025 Super Nova - Jelgava 0:0
    05.04.2025 Jelgava - Super Nova 2:1
    01.10.2023 Super Nova - Jelgava 1:1
    Latest results of Super Nova
    08.03.2026 Auda Riga - Super Nova 2:1
    28.02.2026 Paide LM - Super Nova 1:0
    21.02.2026 Nõmme Kalju - Super Nova 1:1
    14.01.2026 RFS - Super Nova 5:2
    09.11.2025 Super Nova - Liepāja 3:0
    Latest results of Jelgava
    08.03.2026 Jelgava - Tukums 2000 2:1
    14.02.2026 FA Šiauliai - Jelgava 1:0
    07.02.2026 Jelgava - Nõmme Kalju 0:2
    24.01.2026 Panevėžys - Jelgava 2:0
    09.11.2025 Tukums 2000 - Jelgava 1:1
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auda22004:136
    2RFS22003:036
    3Jelgava21103:214
    4FK Liepaja21012:203
    5Grobina21011:2-13
    6Riga FC21015:413
    7Tukums 200020112:3-11
    8Ogre United20111:3-21
    9Super Nova20112:3-11
    10BFC Daugavpils20022:5-30

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