Emmen vs Jong Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

De Oude Meerdijk (Emmen).

Eerste Divisie - Round 24
Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.05	0.86
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
4	8
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	5
Passes
81% (307/381)	81% (318/393)
Yellow cards
5	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.05	0.86
xG on target (xGOT)
0.16	1.52
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
4	8
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
5	0
Shots inside the box
10	9
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	5
Touches in opposition box
30	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
16	13
Passes
81% (307/381)	81% (318/393)
Long passes
47% (21/45)	49% (30/61)
Passes in final third
79% (121/153)	71% (83/117)
Crosses
24% (9/38)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.09	0.73
Throw ins
16	15
Fouls
13	16
Tackles
41% (9/22)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
55	42
Clearances
16	35
Interceptions
5	9
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
8	4
xGOT faced
1.52	0.16
Goals prevented
1.52	0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Staring C. 🟨,
52', Bakir A. 🟨,
57', Johnson J. 🟨,
59', Bakir A. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
59', Hojabrpour A. ↓, Kongolo R. ↑,
61', Konadu D. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
61', Jetten L. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
61', Johnson J. ↓, Abdalla M. ↑,
66', Sondergaard P. 🟨,
66', O'Niel D. ↓, Ouazane A. ↑,
68', Mukeh J. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,
68', Amadin N. ↓, Gerezgiher F. ↑,
85', van de Pavert R. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
87', Gerezgiher F. 🟨,
87', Staring C. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
88', Geypens T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Emmen
59.6%

Draw
20.8%

Jong Ajax
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

21%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

20.5%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1%)

Emmen - Jong Ajax Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.52)	4.48 ↑ (4.33)	4.71 ↓ (4.75)	7.9% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Emmen - Jong Ajax?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emmen: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Emmen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.25 - Jong Ajax (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Emmen (votes: 1 - 50%). Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 4.
In recent matches, Emmen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Jong Ajax's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Jong Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Emmen is the team to beat.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Emmen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 2.8:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Emmen won against Jong Ajax?

Emmen has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Emmen?

Jong Ajax has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Emmen - Jong Ajax were as follows:

24.10.2025 Jong Ajax - Emmen 0:1

11.03.2025 Jong Ajax - Emmen 0:2

08.11.2024 Emmen - Jong Ajax 4:2

29.03.2024 Emmen - Jong Ajax 4:2

15.09.2023 Jong Ajax - Emmen 3:3

Latest results of Emmen

20.02.2026 Emmen - Jong PSV 2:3 ✺

13.02.2026 Dordrecht - Emmen 1:0 ✺

30.01.2026 Den Bosch - Emmen 1:1 ✺

17.01.2026 FC Oss - Emmen 4:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Almere City - Emmen 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Jong Ajax

20.02.2026 Dordrecht - Jong Ajax 0:1 ✺

16.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Cambuur 1:2 ✺

06.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 4:0 ✺

02.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Willem II 2:1 ✺

19.01.2026 Jong Ajax - Roda 2:2 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	35	27	2	6	82:34	48	83
2	Cambuur ✔	36	22	9	5	72:44	28	75
3	De Graafschap	35	17	8	10	68:53	15	59
4	Willem II	35	17	8	10	52:40	12	59
5	Almere City	35	17	4	14	72:57	15	55
6	Waalwijk	36	15	10	11	66:53	13	55
7	Roda	36	14	12	10	57:50	7	54
8	Jong PSV	35	16	5	14	63:59	4	53
9	Den Bosch	35	14	8	13	61:61	0	50
10	Dordrecht	35	11	11	13	45:50	-5	44
11	Eindhoven FC	36	13	5	18	50:66	-16	44
12	Venlo	35	12	5	18	44:52	-8	41
13	FC Emmen	36	11	8	17	55:70	-15	41
14	Vitesse	35	14	10	11	60:53	7	40
15	Jong Utrecht	34	10	9	15	52:58	-6	39
16	Jong AZ	35	11	4	20	59:71	-12	37
17	Maastricht	36	9	10	17	41:71	-30	37
18	Helmond	36	9	9	18	40:61	-21	36
19	Oss	35	8	11	16	46:61	-15	35
20	Jong Ajax	35	8	8	19	48:69	-21	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie