Jong Ajax vs FC Eindhoven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
1:3
21/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 16
  • Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.612.00
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
86% (498/576)78% (255/329)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.612.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.832.73
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
89
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1815
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
165
Passes
86% (498/576)78% (255/329)
Long passes
48% (25/52)49% (28/57)
Passes in final third
81% (101/124)67% (54/81)
Crosses
38% (5/13)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.74
Throw-ins
1124
Fouls
516
Tackles
75% (6/8)64% (14/22)
Duels won
3645
Clearances
2321
Interceptions
110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
2.730.83
Goals prevented
-0.27-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Simons T. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Bouwman A. ⚽, O'Niel D. (A),
  • 58', Dorenbosch D. ↓, Huisman D. ↑,
  • 58', Muller T. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Deenen H. ⚽, Huisman D. (A),
  • 59', Johnson J. 🟨,
  • 62', Konadu D. ↓, Unuvar E. ↑,
  • 62', Mokio J. ↓, Peters T. ↑,
  • 62', Bounida R. ↓, Chourak N. ↑,
  • 70', Deenen H. ↓, Blummel S. ↑,
  • 75', 1 - 3, Douglas T. ⚽, Simons S. (A),
  • 76', Wolff K. ↓, Messori L. ↑,
  • 77', Peters T. 🟨,
  • 83', Essers C. ↓, van de Wetering M. ↑,
  • 83', van der Lans M. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
  • 83', Janga R. ↓, van Veen K. ↑,

Chances of winning


Jong Ajax
43.4%		Draw
25.8%		FC Eindhoven
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 25.3% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 22.3% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • FC Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
    •

    Jong Ajax - FC Eindhoven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.17 ↑
    (1.99)    		 3.62 ↓
    (3.65)    		 3.04 ↓
    (3.27)    		 6.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - FC Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jong Ajax: 25.1% – 83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 2 - 40%). FC Eindhoven (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • FC Eindhoven may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Jong Ajax might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - FC Eindhoven were as follows:
    03.03.2025 Jong Ajax - FC Eindhoven 0:2
    24.08.2024 FC Eindhoven - Jong Ajax 0:3
    23.12.2023 FC Eindhoven - Jong Ajax 2:2
    25.09.2023 Jong Ajax - FC Eindhoven 1:1
    10.03.2023 FC Eindhoven - Jong Ajax 5:1
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    07.11.2025 Jong Ajax - Dordrecht 0:0 ✺
    01.11.2025 Cambuur - Jong Ajax 4:1 ✺
    24.10.2025 Jong Ajax - Emmen 0:1 ✺
    21.10.2025 FC Oss - Jong Ajax 1:1 ✺
    17.10.2025 Jong Ajax - Jong PSV 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of FC Eindhoven
    15.11.2025 FC Eindhoven - Cambuur 3:3 ✺
    07.11.2025 FC Eindhoven - Den Bosch 1:3 ✺
    03.11.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Eindhoven 0:2 ✺
    29.10.2025 HSV Hoek - FC Eindhoven 3:2 ✺
    24.10.2025 FC Eindhoven - VVV-Venlo 0:1 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag28212569:303965
    2Cambuur26176355:292657
    3De Graafschap28146852:411148
    4Jong PSV281441058:52646
    5Roda28129747:41645
    6Willem II28127938:36243
    7Dordrecht281171038:37140
    8Almere City271231255:451039
    9Waalwijk281081045:43238
    10Den Bosch281151249:51-238
    11Venlo281141338:42-437
    12Eindhoven FC281041440:51-1134
    13Jong Utrecht27891045:48-333
    14Helmond28951435:48-1332
    15FC Emmen26861242:48-630
    16Jong AZ28931649:55-630
    17Maastricht28861432:55-2330
    18Oss28691334:48-1427
    19Vitesse28991041:45-424
    20Jong Ajax28581535:52-1723

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