Result
2:4
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 8
- Referee: Boel N. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (402/476) | 80% (260/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 2.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (402/476) | 80% (260/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 39% (18/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (103/145) | 62% (48/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 50% (8/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 75% (21/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.40 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.60 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Matoug N. ⚽,
- 18', 1 - 1, Unuvar E. ⚽, Bounida R. (A),
- 45+1', Verkuijl M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Heise P. ↓, de Blok L. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 2, van Zijl B. ⚽, Triep J. (A),
- 52', 1 - 3, Triep J. ⚽,
- 58', Eijgenraam J. 🟨,
- 58', Matoug N. ↓, Kromah L. ↑,
- 61', Steur S. ↓, Ouazane A. ↑,
- 61', Bounida R. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 3, O'Niel D. ⚽, Jetten L. (A),
- 71', O'Niel D. ↓, Messori L. ↑,
- 71', Peters T. ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
- 74', van Zijl B. ↓, Zandbergen D. ↑,
- 74', Triep J. ↓, van Oorschot D. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 4, Blancquart G. ⚽, de Blok L. (A),
- 80', Joosten T. 🟨,
- 81', Odriss M. ↓, Foor N. ↑,
- 85', Unuvar E. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong Ajax
22.4% | Draw
25.8% | VVV-Venlo
51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Ajax's form might have worsened.VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting VVV-Venlo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+21.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-20%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for VVV-Venlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.37 ↑
(2.12) |
5.19 ↑
(3.85) |
2.42 ↓
(2.87) |
-23.7%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong Ajax: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2.
- Recent form of Jong Ajax has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Venlo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Venlo: Reinders T.
(Injury)
Saddiki D.
(Injury)
Timber D.
(Knee Injury)
Zandbergen D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Chourak N.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against VVV-Venlo?
Jong Ajax has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Jong Ajax?
VVV-Venlo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo were as follows:
07.03.2025
VVV-Venlo
-
Jong Ajax
1:0
01.11.2024
Jong Ajax
-
VVV-Venlo
0:1
03.05.2024
VVV-Venlo
-
Jong Ajax
2:0
06.10.2023
Jong Ajax
-
VVV-Venlo
3:0
24.10.2022
Jong Ajax
-
VVV-Venlo
1:1
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Latest results of VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Roda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 5 | Dordrecht | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Venlo | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Willem II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Oss | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Helmond | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Almere City | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 | De Graafschap | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Jong Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Maastricht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
