Result
2:2
07/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 26
- Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (422/490) | 86% (409/476) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 3.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (422/490) | 86% (409/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (21/46) | 51% (24/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (98/134) | 77% (118/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.96 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 38 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.09 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.09 | -1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Abed T. ⚽,
- 38', Bawuah J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Addai J. ↓, Toppenberg K. ↑,
- 46', Meerdink M. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
- 46', Schouten L. ↓, Menu M. ↑,
- 47', Engel M. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 1, Dijkstra E. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
- 56', 2 - 1, Smits A. ⚽, Twisk N. (A),
- 68', Twisk N. ↓, Robbemond R. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Babadi I. (Pen),
- 73', Bajraktarevic E. ↓, Uneken J. ↑,
- 73', Engel M. ↓, van Aken J. ↑,
- 79', Uneken J. 🟨,
- 82', Dijkstra E. 🟨,
- 82', Abed T. 🟨,
- 82', Younis M. ↓, Gilbert D. ↑,
- 84', Waayers E. ↓, van den Heuvel T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong AZ Alkmaar
57.1% | Draw
21.1% | Jong PSV
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong AZ Alkmaar's performance.Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong PSV might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong PSV could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong PSV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.86) |
4.48 ↑
(4.1) |
4.35 ↑
(3.26) |
5.8%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong PSV?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Jong AZ Alkmaar will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 18).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong AZ won 2.
- Recent matches Jong AZ is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Jong PSV has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Jong PSV could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Jong AZ is a favorite.
- There will not play in Jong AZ: Addai J.
(Injury)
van Bommel R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Jong PSV: Fofana F.
(Knee Injury)
Pepi R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong AZ: Meerdink M.
(Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Jong AZ won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22:27 (average 1.6:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Jong AZ won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Jong PSV?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Jong PSV has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong PSV were as follows:
25.11.2024
Jong PSV
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
08.03.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Jong PSV
4:1
24.11.2023
Jong PSV
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:2
27.02.2023
Jong PSV
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3:3
12.12.2022
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Jong PSV
2:3
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Eindhoven FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Helmond | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Maastricht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Almere City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Oss | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Willem II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Den Haag | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
