Willem II vs Jong PSV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg).

Eerste Divisie - Round 34
Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.06	0.72
Ball possession
37%	63%
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
8	2
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
3	8
Passes
79% (255/321)	90% (491/545)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.06	0.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.41	0.80
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked shots
3	6
Shots inside the box
14	9
Shots outside the box
3	4
Hit the woodwork
1	2
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
3	8
Touches in opposition box
23	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free kicks
12	9
Passes
79% (255/321)	90% (491/545)
Long passes
53% (33/62)	72% (33/46)
Passes in final third
68% (61/90)	81% (113/139)
Crosses
33% (4/12)	22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.93	0.98
Throw ins
15	16
Fouls
9	12
Tackles
54% (7/13)	93% (13/14)
Duels won
42	46
Clearances
23	13
Interceptions
11	3
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
2	7
xGOT faced
0.80	1.41
Goals prevented
0.80	0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Verheydt T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', El Allouchi M. 🟨,
67', Sidibe S. ↓, Bawuah J. ↑,
67', Bouhoudane S. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
67', van der Plas S. ↓, Bassey E. ↑,
69', Scheepens K. 🟨,
74', Monamay M. 🟨,
75', El Allouchi M. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
79', Kuhn W. ↓, van de Riet R. ↑,
79', Bahaty M. ↓, Beerens J. ↑,
82', Verheydt T. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
88', Doodeman N. ↓, Abildgaard L. ↑,
88', Haen D. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Willem II
60.1%

Draw
20.8%

Jong PSV
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

19.2%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

18.7%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Willem II - Jong PSV Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.52)	4.5 ↓ (4.86)	4.88 ↑ (4.7)	6.7% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Willem II - Jong PSV?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Willem II (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Willem II will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 1.
Willem II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Jong PSV's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Willem II is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Schuurman J. (Knock) Twigt C. (Red Card)
There will not play in Jong PSV: van den Berg J. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Willem II: Ciranni A. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Jong PSV?

Willem II has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Willem II?

Jong PSV has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Jong PSV were as follows:

03.11.2025 Jong PSV - Willem II 2:1

29.01.2024 Jong PSV - Willem II 1:1

27.10.2023 Willem II - Jong PSV 3:0

30.01.2023 Jong PSV - Willem II 3:2

Latest results of Willem II

28.03.2026 Willem II - De Graafschap 0:2 ✺

22.03.2026 MVV Maastricht - Willem II 0:5 ✺

13.03.2026 FC Oss - Willem II 1:3 ✺

08.03.2026 Willem II - Den Bosch 1:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Emmen - Willem II 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Jong PSV

20.03.2026 Jong PSV - Vitesse 0:2 ✺

16.03.2026 Den Bosch - Jong PSV 1:0 ✺

13.03.2026 Jong PSV - FC Eindhoven 1:2 ✺

06.03.2026 Roda - Jong PSV 0:2 ✺

27.02.2026 Jong PSV - Dordrecht 1:1 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	53	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	27	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	17	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	16	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	15	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	12	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	2	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	5	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	-4	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	-8	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	-18	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	-4	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	-8	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	-14	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	9	44
16	Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	-10	44
17	Jong AZ	38	12	4	22	61:76	-15	40
18	Helmond	38	10	9	19	42:62	-20	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	-32	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	-23	35

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )