Result
2:3
05/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 19
- Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (310/390) | 79% (312/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (310/390) | 79% (312/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (15/47) | 41% (24/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (92/126) | 68% (92/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/24) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | -1.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', Deom J. 🟨,
- 42', Deom J. ↓, Breij M. ↑,
- 45', 0 - 1, Budko B. ⚽, Boogaard K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 62', 0 - 2, Twisk N. ⚽, Budko B. (A),
- 63', Budko B. ↓, Atikallah R. ↑,
- 63', van Duijn S. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
- 67', Menu M. 🟨,
- 69', van den Hurk A. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
- 69', Jansen K. ↓, Beerten L. ↑,
- 69', Griffith I. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
- 74', van den Ban Y. ↓, Robbemond R. ↑,
- 76', Foss J. ↓, Janssen F. ↑,
- 81', Toppenberg K. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 2, Cooper-Love J. ⚽,
- 84', Robbemond R. 🟨,
- 88', Toppenberg K. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
- 88', Hartog J. ↓, Menu M. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 3, Boogaard K. ⚽, Robbemond R. (A),
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Breij M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Roda
55% | Draw
24.6% | Jong AZ Alkmaar
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roda that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71
(1.71) |
3.79 ↓
(4.01) |
4.55 ↑
(4.24) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 46.4% – 99%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roda will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, Roda is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Roda: Kother T.
(Knee Injury)
Paulissen M.
(Knee Injury)
Schwirten J.
(Knee Injury)
Van den Buijs D.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Jong AZ: Adjedj E.
(Red Card)
Kasius D.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Roda won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 2.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Roda has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Roda?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
07.02.2025
Roda
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3:3
12.08.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Roda
6:1
05.02.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Roda
1:0
06.10.2023
Roda
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3:1
13.03.2023
Roda
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:0
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 35 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 82:34 | 48 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 72:44 | 28 | 75 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 68:53 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Willem II | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 52:40 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Almere City | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 72:57 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 66:53 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Roda | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 54 |
| 8 | Jong PSV | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 63:59 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 61:61 | 0 | 50 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 45:50 | -5 | 44 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 50:66 | -16 | 44 |
| 12 | Venlo | 35 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 44:52 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 55:70 | -15 | 41 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 60:53 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 59:71 | -12 | 37 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 37 |
| 18 | Helmond | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Oss | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 46:61 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 48:69 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
