Jong Ajax vs Jong PSV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
17/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 11
  • Referee: Van Kommer B. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.072.14
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2119
Shots on target
98
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
86% (379/440)84% (298/353)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.072.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.963.38
Total shots
2119
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
1213
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
3825
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
86% (379/440)84% (298/353)
Long passes
54% (21/39)53% (24/45)
Passes in final third
76% (95/125)69% (61/89)
Crosses
19% (3/16)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.59
Throw-ins
2415
Fouls
1214
Tackles
62% (13/21)44% (11/25)
Duels won
5647
Clearances
1320
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
67
xGOT faced
3.382.96
Goals prevented
1.380.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Abed T. , van den Berg J. (A),
  • 45', van den Berg J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Bassey E. , Raap Y. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Unuvar E. ,
  • 55', Bawuah J. 🟨,
  • 63', Fernandez N. , Verhulst G. ,
  • 63', Abed T. , Kluit F. ,
  • 63', van der Plas S. , Merien F. ,
  • 72', Verkuijl M. , Ouazane A. ,
  • 72', Jetten L. , Butera E. ,
  • 74', O'Niel D. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 2, van Duiven R. ,
  • 77', Bawuah J. , Sidibe S. ,
  • 84', Unuvar E. , Vink S. ,
  • 84', O'Niel D. , Messori L. ,
  • 86', van Duiven R. 🟨,
  • 87', Peters T. , Chourak N. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Steur S. , Ouazane A. (A),
  • 90+4', Butera E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong Ajax
38.6%
Draw
23.1%
Jong PSV
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 23.9% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 24.7% 38.1%

Jong Ajax - Jong PSV Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.45
(2.41)
4.08
(3.97)
2.45
(2.57)
6.3%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Jong PSV?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 3.
    • Jong Ajax is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Jong PSV has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:31. (average 1.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 2.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Jong PSV were as follows:
    20.01.2025 Jong Ajax - Jong PSV 4:0
    12.08.2024 Jong PSV - Jong Ajax 2:2
    15.03.2024 Jong Ajax - Jong PSV 3:0
    15.12.2023 Jong PSV - Jong Ajax 2:2
    17.04.2023 Jong Ajax - Jong PSV 5:4
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    03.10.2025 Jong Ajax - De Graafschap 2:2
    29.09.2025 Waalwijk - Jong Ajax 2:1
    26.09.2025 Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo 2:4
    19.09.2025 Willem II - Jong Ajax 1:0
    15.09.2025 Jong Ajax - ADO Den Haag 1:3
    Latest results of Jong PSV
    03.10.2025 FC Oss - Jong PSV 1:1
    29.09.2025 Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht 2:2
    26.09.2025 Cambuur - Jong PSV 5:3
    22.09.2025 Jong PSV - Den Bosch 3:0
    15.09.2025 Jong PSV - Roda 0:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag17151149:153446
    2Cambuur18115239:211838
    3Den Bosch1892737:36129
    4Jong PSV1784534:30428
    5Roda1776428:24427
    6Waalwijk1775528:26226
    7Willem II1875623:27-426
    8De Graafschap1674530:25525
    9FC Emmen1874732:32025
    10Dordrecht1866622:22024
    11Almere City1872935:29623
    12Helmond1872924:26-223
    13Jong Utrecht1865726:30-423
    14Venlo18701122:28-621
    15Oss1847721:30-919
    16Eindhoven FC1753918:34-1618
    17Jong AZ18521126:34-817
    18Maastricht17431019:33-1415
    19Vitesse1564528:26210
    20Jong Ajax17161022:35-139

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )