Jong Ajax vs Jong PSV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
2:2
17/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 11
  • Referee: Van Kommer B. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.072.14
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2119
Shots on target
98
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
86% (379/440)84% (298/353)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.072.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.963.38
Total shots
2119
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
1213
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
3825
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
86% (379/440)84% (298/353)
Long passes
54% (21/39)53% (24/45)
Passes in final third
76% (95/125)69% (61/89)
Crosses
19% (3/16)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.59
Throw-ins
2415
Fouls
1214
Tackles
62% (13/21)44% (11/25)
Duels won
5647
Clearances
1320
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
67
xGOT faced
3.382.96
Goals prevented
1.380.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Abed T. ⚽, van den Berg J. (A),
  • 45', van den Berg J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Bassey E. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Unuvar E. ⚽,
  • 55', Bawuah J. 🟨,
  • 63', Fernandez N. ↓, Verhulst G. ↑,
  • 63', Abed T. ↓, Kluit F. ↑,
  • 63', van der Plas S. ↓, Merien F. ↑,
  • 72', Verkuijl M. ↓, Ouazane A. ↑,
  • 72', Jetten L. ↓, Butera E. ↑,
  • 74', O'Niel D. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 2, van Duiven R. ⚽,
  • 77', Bawuah J. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
  • 84', Unuvar E. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
  • 84', O'Niel D. ↓, Messori L. ↑,
  • 86', van Duiven R. 🟨,
  • 87', Peters T. ↓, Chourak N. ↑,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Steur S. ⚽, Ouazane A. (A),
  • 90+4', Butera E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong Ajax
38.6%		Draw
23.1%		Jong PSV
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 23.9% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 24.7% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
    •

    Jong Ajax - Jong PSV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.45 ↑
    (2.41)    		 4.08 ↑
    (3.97)    		 2.45 ↓
    (2.57)    		 6.3%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Jong PSV?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 11.9% – 76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 3.
    • Jong Ajax is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Jong PSV has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:31. (average 1.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 2.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Jong PSV were as follows:
    20.01.2025 Jong Ajax - Jong PSV 4:0
    12.08.2024 Jong PSV - Jong Ajax 2:2
    15.03.2024 Jong Ajax - Jong PSV 3:0
    15.12.2023 Jong PSV - Jong Ajax 2:2
    17.04.2023 Jong Ajax - Jong PSV 5:4
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    03.10.2025 Jong Ajax - De Graafschap 2:2 ✺
    29.09.2025 Waalwijk - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺
    26.09.2025 Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo 2:4 ✺
    19.09.2025 Willem II - Jong Ajax 1:0 ✺
    15.09.2025 Jong Ajax - ADO Den Haag 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Jong PSV
    03.10.2025 FC Oss - Jong PSV 1:1 ✺
    29.09.2025 Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht 2:2 ✺
    26.09.2025 Cambuur - Jong PSV 5:3 ✺
    22.09.2025 Jong PSV - Den Bosch 3:0 ✺
    15.09.2025 Jong PSV - Roda 0:1 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 35272682:344883
    2Cambuur ✔ 35228571:432874
    3De Graafschap351781068:531559
    4Willem II351781052:401259
    5Almere City351741472:571555
    6Jong PSV351651463:59453
    7Waalwijk3514101161:53852
    8Roda3513121054:49551
    9Den Bosch341471360:60049
    10Dordrecht3511111345:50-544
    11Eindhoven FC351351749:63-1444
    12Venlo351251844:52-841
    13FC Emmen351181655:65-1041
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht35991741:71-3036
    18Oss358111646:61-1535
    19Helmond35981840:61-2135
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
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