Result
2:2
17/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 11
- Referee: Van Kommer B. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 2.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (379/440) | 84% (298/353) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 2.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 3.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (379/440) | 84% (298/353) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (21/39) | 53% (24/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (95/125) | 69% (61/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 44% (11/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.38 | 2.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Abed T. ⚽, van den Berg J. (A),
- 45', van den Berg J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Bassey E. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Unuvar E. ⚽,
- 55', Bawuah J. 🟨,
- 63', Fernandez N. ↓, Verhulst G. ↑,
- 63', Abed T. ↓, Kluit F. ↑,
- 63', van der Plas S. ↓, Merien F. ↑,
- 72', Verkuijl M. ↓, Ouazane A. ↑,
- 72', Jetten L. ↓, Butera E. ↑,
- 74', O'Niel D. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 2, van Duiven R. ⚽,
- 77', Bawuah J. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
- 84', Unuvar E. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
- 84', O'Niel D. ↓, Messori L. ↑,
- 86', van Duiven R. 🟨,
- 87', Peters T. ↓, Chourak N. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Steur S. ⚽, Ouazane A. (A),
- 90+4', Butera E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jong Ajax
38.6% | Draw
23.1% | Jong PSV
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Jong Ajax - Jong PSV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.41) |
4.08 ↑
(3.97) |
2.45 ↓
(2.57) |
6.3%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Jong PSV?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 3.
- Jong Ajax is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Jong PSV has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:31. (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Jong PSV?
Jong Ajax has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Jong Ajax?
Jong PSV has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Jong PSV were as follows:
20.01.2025
Jong Ajax
-
Jong PSV
4:0
12.08.2024
Jong PSV
-
Jong Ajax
2:2
15.03.2024
Jong Ajax
-
Jong PSV
3:0
15.12.2023
Jong PSV
-
Jong Ajax
2:2
17.04.2023
Jong Ajax
-
Jong PSV
5:4
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Latest results of Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30:7 | 23 | 28 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Roda | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Willem II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 | Den Bosch | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Helmond | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Venlo | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Waalwijk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | De Graafschap | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Emmen | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Oss | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Almere City | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Eindhoven FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
| 18 | Jong AZ | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
