Jong Ajax vs Jong PSV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
17/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 11
  • Referee: Van Kommer B. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.072.14
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2119
Shots on target
98
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
86% (379/440)84% (298/353)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.072.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.963.38
Total shots
2119
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
1213
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
3825
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
86% (379/440)84% (298/353)
Long passes
54% (21/39)53% (24/45)
Passes in final third
76% (95/125)69% (61/89)
Crosses
19% (3/16)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.59
Throw-ins
2415
Fouls
1214
Tackles
62% (13/21)44% (11/25)
Duels won
5647
Clearances
1320
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
67
xGOT faced
3.382.96
Goals prevented
1.380.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Abed T. , van den Berg J. (A),
  • 45', van den Berg J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Bassey E. , Raap Y. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Unuvar E. ,
  • 55', Bawuah J. 🟨,
  • 63', Fernandez N. , Verhulst G. ,
  • 63', Abed T. , Kluit F. ,
  • 63', van der Plas S. , Merien F. ,
  • 72', Verkuijl M. , Ouazane A. ,
  • 72', Jetten L. , Butera E. ,
  • 74', O'Niel D. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 2, van Duiven R. ,
  • 77', Bawuah J. , Sidibe S. ,
  • 84', Unuvar E. , Vink S. ,
  • 84', O'Niel D. , Messori L. ,
  • 86', van Duiven R. 🟨,
  • 87', Peters T. , Chourak N. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Steur S. , Ouazane A. (A),
  • 90+4', Butera E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong Ajax
38.6%
Draw
23.1%
Jong PSV
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 23.9% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 24.7% 38.1%

Jong Ajax - Jong PSV Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.45
(2.41)
4.08
(3.97)
2.45
(2.57)
6.3%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Jong PSV?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 3.
    • Jong Ajax is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Jong PSV has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:31. (average 1.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 2.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Jong PSV were as follows:
    20.01.2025 Jong Ajax - Jong PSV 4:0
    12.08.2024 Jong PSV - Jong Ajax 2:2
    15.03.2024 Jong Ajax - Jong PSV 3:0
    15.12.2023 Jong PSV - Jong Ajax 2:2
    17.04.2023 Jong Ajax - Jong PSV 5:4
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    03.10.2025 Jong Ajax - De Graafschap 2:2
    29.09.2025 Waalwijk - Jong Ajax 2:1
    26.09.2025 Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo 2:4
    19.09.2025 Willem II - Jong Ajax 1:0
    15.09.2025 Jong Ajax - ADO Den Haag 1:3
    Latest results of Jong PSV
    03.10.2025 FC Oss - Jong PSV 1:1
    29.09.2025 Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht 2:2
    26.09.2025 Cambuur - Jong PSV 5:3
    22.09.2025 Jong PSV - Den Bosch 3:0
    15.09.2025 Jong PSV - Roda 0:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag20171256:213552
    2Cambuur21145246:222447
    3De Graafschap20104639:31834
    4Jong PSV21104741:39234
    5Roda2087533:29431
    6Venlo211001128:30-230
    7Almere City2092941:33829
    8Den Bosch2092938:39-129
    9Willem II2085725:28-329
    10FC Emmen2084837:35228
    11Eindhoven FC21831029:41-1227
    12Jong Utrecht2075832:34-226
    13Waalwijk2075831:33-226
    14Dordrecht2166926:31-524
    15Helmond20721127:34-723
    16Maastricht21641125:40-1522
    17Oss2048824:34-1020
    18Jong AZ21621332:43-1120
    19Vitesse1975731:31014
    20Jong Ajax20261227:40-1312

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )