Result
3:1
01/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 18
- Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (299/375) | 81% (365/448) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (299/375) | 81% (365/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (22/59) | 51% (25/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (63/90) | 73% (85/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 45% (9/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, van Duiven R. ⚽, Kluit F. (A),
- 32', Kuster H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 2 - 0, van Duiven R. ⚽, Kluit F. (A),
- 56', van den Berg J. 🟨,
- 57', 3 - 0, Abed T. ⚽,
- 59', Kluit F. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
- 62', Kuster H. ↓, Panneflek O. ↑,
- 62', Kuijpers R. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
- 65', Monamay M. 🟨,
- 71', Roemeratoe G. ↓, Zorgdrager B. ↑,
- 71', van Duiven R. ↓, Beerens J. ↑,
- 72', Merien F. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
- 82', Altena J. ↓, Schaapman M. ↑,
- 82', Uneken J. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
- 87', van den Berg J. ↓, Holseter-Karlsen P. ↑,
- 87', Fernandez N. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 1, van der Leij T. ⚽, Panneflek O. (A),
Chances of winning
Jong PSV
27.4% | Draw
22.8% | Waalwijk
49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong PSV's form might have worsened.Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Waalwijk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong PSV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Waalwijk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong PSV - Waalwijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↑
(2.7) |
4.09 ↑
(3.95) |
1.88 ↓
(2.1) |
7.4%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong PSV - Waalwijk?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 19 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 59.3% – 92.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Waalwijk will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Waalwijk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Waalwijk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Jong PSV: Thomas A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong PSV: Koller J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: van Gelderen L.
(Knock)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:16. (average 2.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Waalwijk?
Jong PSV has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Jong PSV?
Waalwijk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - Waalwijk were as follows:
Latest results of Jong PSV
Latest results of Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 58:47 | 11 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
