Helmond Sport vs Jong Utrecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 6
  • Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.12
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
74% (278/376)77% (313/404)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.80
Total shots
914
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2024
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
723
Passes
74% (278/376)77% (313/404)
Long passes
40% (31/78)42% (26/62)
Passes in final third
61% (77/126)71% (82/116)
Crosses
19% (3/16)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.62
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
237
Tackles
60% (15/25)82% (14/17)
Duels won
5264
Clearances
2528
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.801.33
Goals prevented
-0.20-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Essakkati T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Essakkati T. , Ogenia J. ,
  • 52', 🟨,
  • 55', Lukowicz M. , Bajrami L. ,
  • 56', Makanza N. 🟨,
  • 61', van de Haar J. , Jenner I. ,
  • 62', van der Wegen S. , Dundas N. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Dundas N. , Viereck N. (A),
  • 72', 2 - 1, Ogenia J. , Koglin B. (A),
  • 74', Makanza N. , Ludwig M. ,
  • 78', van Ommeren J. , Edhart L. ,
  • 85', Kloosterboer P. , Plantinga V. ,
  • 85', Bajrami L. 🟨,
  • 87', Leipold A. , Van Den Eynden F. ,
  • 88', Et Taibi A. , Poll T. ,
  • 89', Agougil O. , Arcos G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Helmond Sport
57.4%
Draw
23%
Jong Utrecht
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 22.2% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 22.4% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Helmond Sport - Jong Utrecht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.59)
    4.11
    (4.25)
    4.93
    (5.1)
    6.2%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Jong Utrecht?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3.
    • Helmond Sport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Jong Utrecht has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Jong Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Helmond Sport is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Jong Utrecht: El Arguioui R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Jensen M. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Jong Utrecht were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Jong Utrecht - Helmond Sport 3:1
    09.08.2024 Helmond Sport - Jong Utrecht 1:1
    08.03.2024 Jong Utrecht - Helmond Sport 0:1
    06.10.2023 Helmond Sport - Jong Utrecht 4:0
    24.02.2023 Helmond Sport - Jong Utrecht 2:0
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    13.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport 2:1
    22.08.2025 Helmond Sport - Emmen 2:0
    15.08.2025 Waalwijk - Helmond Sport 1:1
    10.08.2025 Helmond Sport - Roda 1:3
    Latest results of Jong Utrecht
    12.09.2025 Jong Utrecht - Waalwijk 2:0
    29.08.2025 Willem II - Jong Utrecht 2:1
    25.08.2025 Jong Utrecht - Jong Ajax 4:3
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag29222570:304068
    2Cambuur28196360:322863
    3De Graafschap29147855:441149
    4Jong PSV291451059:53647
    5Roda291210749:43646
    6Willem II29137941:36546
    7Almere City291331360:501042
    8Waalwijk291181047:44341
    9Dordrecht291181039:38141
    10Den Bosch291161251:53-239
    11Venlo291141438:43-537
    12Eindhoven FC291041541:53-1234
    13FC Emmen28961343:51-833
    14Jong Utrecht29891247:52-533
    15Helmond29951536:53-1732
    16Maastricht29871435:58-2331
    17Jong AZ29931749:57-830
    18Vitesse291091043:45-227
    19Oss29691435:50-1527
    20Jong Ajax29681540:53-1326

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