Result
3:1
17/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 11
- Referee: Puts K. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.64 | 1.15 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Total shots |
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16 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
78% (244/314) | 83% (445/539) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.64 | 1.15 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.24 | 1.45 |
Total shots |
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16 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
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2 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 12 |
Passes |
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78% (244/314) | 83% (445/539) |
Long passes |
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49% (26/53) | 52% (35/67) |
Passes in final third |
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60% (52/86) | 70% (112/161) |
Crosses |
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40% (4/10) | 19% (6/31) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.23 | 1.11 |
Throw-ins |
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9 | 28 |
Fouls |
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12 | 13 |
Tackles |
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58% (11/19) | 65% (13/20) |
Duels won |
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58 | 54 |
Clearances |
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45 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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14 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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8 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.45 | 2.24 |
Goals prevented |
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0.45 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Ohio N. ⚽, Demircan E. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Camil Mmaee ⚽, Westerveld S. (A),
- 20', 2 - 1, Ohio N. ⚽, Dundas N. (A),
- 45+3', Breugelmans I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 3 - 1, Jensen M. ⚽, van Ommeren J. (A),
- 57', Klaasen R. ↓, Kleinen M. ↑,
- 57', El Basri N. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
- 61', Ohio N. ↓, Edhart L. ↑,
- 61', van Ommeren J. ↓, Jenner I. ↑,
- 61', Demircan E. ↓, El Arguioui R. ↑,
- 67', Braken S. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 73', Jensen M. ↓, Plantinga V. ↑,
- 77', Zaian A. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
- 78', Tran L. M. ↓, Sy K. ↑,
- 79', Camil Mmaee 🟨,
- 90+6', Ghaddari M. ↓, van den Boogaard B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong Utrecht 47.5% | Draw 24.2% | MVV Maastricht 28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Jong Utrecht - MVV Maastricht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2 ↓ (2.1) |
3.95 ↑ (3.75) |
3.49 ↑ (3.12) |
3.9% (6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht - MVV Maastricht?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Maastricht will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong Utrecht: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 1.
- Jong Utrecht is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Maastricht has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Jong Utrecht could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Jong Utrecht: El Arguioui R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Jenner I.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Utrecht won against MVV Maastricht?
Jong Utrecht has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Jong Utrecht?
MVV Maastricht has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Utrecht - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
18.04.2025
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong Utrecht
5:0
04.11.2024
Jong Utrecht
-
MVV Maastricht
4:3
19.01.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong Utrecht
3:0
30.10.2023
Jong Utrecht
-
MVV Maastricht
1:1
17.03.2023
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong Utrecht
1:0
Latest results of Jong Utrecht
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Den Haag | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30:7 | 23 | 28 |
2 | Cambuur | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
3 | Jong PSV | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Roda | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 |
5 | Willem II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
6 | Den Bosch | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 17 |
7 | Dordrecht | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
8 | Helmond | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
9 | Venlo | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Waalwijk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
11 | De Graafschap | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
12 | FC Emmen | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Oss | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 |
14 | Almere City | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 11 |
15 | Jong Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
16 | Maastricht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Eindhoven FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
18 | Jong AZ | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 8 |
19 | Jong Ajax | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 7 |
20 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )