Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports |
 Usa | Estrella TV, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, NBC Universo, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (286/343) | 77% (237/308) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (286/343) | 77% (237/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (30/51) | 39% (16/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (73/96) | 65% (50/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Ayon E. ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 0, Ayon E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+5', 2 - 1, Joao Pedro Galvao (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Galdames B. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 61', Meraz R. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
- 66', Ayon E. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
- 66', Madson ↓, Guilherme Castilho ↑,
- 78', Cruz A. ↓, Lucas Esteves ↑,
- 78', Macias O. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 81', Duarte A. 🟨,
- 85', Rodriguez D. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
- 90', Garcia D. ↓, Martinez Yepez H. E. ↑,
- 90+1', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
- 90+6', Puma ↓, Carmona J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Juárez
47.4% | Draw
26% | Atlético San Luis
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Juárez - Atlético San Luis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.06) |
3.6 ↑
(3.56) |
3.47 ↑
(3.19) |
7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Juárez - Atlético San Luis?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Juárez will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético San Luis: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 13)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 3.
- Juárez is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atlético San Luis has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Juárez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Juárez has had a series of away games.
- Juárez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Juárez: Lopez E.
(Red Card)
Romero B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
Medina J.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Atlético San Luis?
Juárez has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Juárez?
Atlético San Luis has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
31.10.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
Juárez
1:2
07.03.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
Juárez
1:0
27.10.2024
Juárez
-
Atlético San Luis
2:4
08.04.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Juárez
2:3
25.10.2023
Juárez
-
Atlético San Luis
3:2
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
