Result
0:4
22/02/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Escobedo Gonzalez A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 2.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (311/381) | 83% (351/422) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 71% (76/107) | 54% (44/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/18) | 17% (1/6) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 67% (20/30) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 6 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 1', Garcia Caprizo B. A. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Paulinho ⚽,
- 17', 0 - 2, Angulo J. ⚽, Morales R. (A),
- 20', Mosquera M. 🟨,
- 22', Murillo J. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 3, Paulinho ⚽,
- 28', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Orquin R. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 46', Villalpando D. ↓, Madson ↑,
- 46', Murillo J. ↓, Manriquez J. ↑,
- 54', Guilherme Castilho 🟨,
- 58', Guilherme Castilho ↓, Abdullahi S. ↑,
- 61', Vega A. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
- 62', Garcia Caprizo B. A. ↓, Barbosa D. ↑,
- 67', Estupinan O. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 70', Morales R. ↓, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 4, Paulinho ⚽, Angulo J. (A),
- 77', Gallardo J. 🟨,
- 79', Romero F. ↓, Briseno A. ↑,
- 79', Gallardo J. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Juárez
26% | Draw
25% | Toluca
49% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toluca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juárez that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toluca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juárez - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↓
(4.48) |
3.79 ↓
(4.27) |
1.93 ↑
(1.66) |
5.7%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Watch this match and Mexican Liga MX with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX Deportes
What is the prediction for Juárez - Toluca?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Juárez won 1.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Toluca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Toluca will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Juárez: Castro M.
(Knee Injury)
Romero B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Toluca: Escobar J.
(Health problems)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Juárez won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:18 (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Juárez won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Toluca?
Juárez has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Juárez?
Toluca has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Toluca were as follows:
13.07.2024
Toluca
-
Juárez
3:2
08.03.2024
Juárez
-
Toluca
1:1
16.07.2023
Toluca
-
Juárez
2:4
23.04.2023
Toluca
-
Juárez
1:1
09.10.2022
Toluca
-
Juárez
3:0
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pachuca | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Club America | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Mazatlan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
