Result
0:0
29/11/2025 at 20:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Garcia Mendoza K. I. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Canal 5, FOX One, Fox Sports, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (414/482) | 77% (219/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (414/482) | 77% (219/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (34/62) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (112/143) | 61% (35/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
- 36', Pizarro R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 68', Angulo J. ↓, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↑,
- 68', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
- 73', Helinho ↓, Morales R. ↑,
- 75', Guilherme Castilho 🟨,
- 86', Castro N. ↓, del Villar E. ↑,
- 86', Paulinho ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
- 86', Guilherme Castilho ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 89', Dominguez Chonteco J. P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toluca
70.8% | Draw
17.8% | Juárez
11.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Toluca - Juárez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.42) |
5.39 ↑
(5.08) |
8.22 ↑
(6.76) |
5.6%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Toluca - Juárez?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toluca: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toluca will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 4.
- Toluca is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Juárez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Juárez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Toluca is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Toluca: Luan
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Juárez: Martinez Yepez H. E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Toluca: Vega A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Garcia D.
(Injury)
Madson
(Injury)
Mosquera M.
(Injury)
Valoyes D.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Juárez?
Toluca has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Toluca?
Juárez has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Juárez were as follows:
26.11.2025
Juárez
-
Toluca
1:2
11.08.2025
Juárez
-
Toluca
0:2
22.02.2025
Juárez
-
Toluca
0:4
13.07.2024
Toluca
-
Juárez
3:2
08.03.2024
Juárez
-
Toluca
1:1
Draw
Apertura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Juarez (8) | 0 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Club America (4) | Monterrey (5) | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL (2) | Club Tijuana (7) | 5 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Guadalajara Chivas (6) | 3 : 2, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Monterrey (5) | 3 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL (2) | Cruz Azul (3) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Toluca (1) | Tigres UANL (2) | |
