Result
08/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Toluca
71.1% | Draw
18.7% | Juárez
10.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Toluca - Juárez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31
(1.31) |
4.95 ↓
(5.17) |
9.01 ↓
(9.58) |
7.7%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 4.
- Toluca is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Juárez is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Toluca is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Toluca will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Juárez?
Toluca has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Toluca?
Juárez has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Juárez were as follows:
29.11.2025
Toluca
-
Juárez
0:0
26.11.2025
Juárez
-
Toluca
1:2
11.08.2025
Juárez
-
Toluca
0:2
22.02.2025
Juárez
-
Toluca
0:4
13.07.2024
Toluca
-
Juárez
3:2
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Toluca | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Club America | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Puebla | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Juarez | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9:23 | -14 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
