Atlético Nacional vs Junior Barranquilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla
Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
  • Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.86
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
268
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
80% (370/461)66% (147/223)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.671.74
Total shots
268
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
165
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3912
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
915
Passes
80% (370/461)66% (147/223)
Long passes
54% (30/56)41% (24/58)
Passes in final third
67% (117/175)60% (33/55)
Crosses
21% (6/29)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.81
Throw-ins
2718
Fouls
159
Tackles
57% (8/14)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4142
Clearances
844
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.741.67
Goals prevented
-1.26-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Paiva G. ,
  • 35', Sarmiento A. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 2, Barrera J. , Castrillon B. (A),
  • 45', Campuzano J. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Paiva G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Sarmiento A. , Zapata J. ,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Arce B. ,
  • 58', 1 - 3, Baez C. ,
  • 62', Barrera J. , Gutierrez T. ,
  • 63', Paiva G. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 68', Castrillon B. 🟨,
  • 70', Rodriguez S. , Bacca C. ,
  • 70', Castrillon B. , Quintero Y. ,
  • 75', Mele S. 🟨,
  • 76', 2 - 3, Viveros K. , Morelos A. (A),
  • 82', Chara Y. , Enamorado J. ,
  • 90+1', Herrera E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5n87ynfc

Chances of winning


Atlético Nacional
62%
Draw
23.3%
Junior Barranquilla
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 25.6% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 25.1% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.6)
    3.97
    (3.6)
    6.21
    (5.5)
    6.8%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Atlético Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    • Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 1.
    • Atlético Nacional is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Junior's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético Nacional is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
    26.09.2024 Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla Abandoned
    02.03.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional 0:0
    17.09.2023 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional 1:1
    10.04.2023 Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla 0:1
    Latest results of Atlético Nacional
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional32017:436
    2Junior22005:236
    3Fortaleza22003:126
    4Santa Fe31203:215
    5Llaneros31202:115
    6Chico31114:314
    7Pereira31114:404
    8Alianza31112:204
    9Dep. Pasto11003:213
    10Deportes Tolima31023:4-13
    11Aguilas30212:3-12
    12Bucaramanga10101:101
    13America De Cali10100:001
    14U. Magdalena10100:001
    15Envigado20110:1-11
    16Ind. Medellin20111:3-21
    17La Equidad20111:3-21
    18Dep. Cali20110:2-21
    19Millonarios00000:000
    20Once Caldas20022:5-30

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )