Junior Barranquilla vs Deportes Tolima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
18/01/2026 at 18:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 1
  • Referee: Moncada A. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.950.96
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
35
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
121
Passes
85% (450/531)77% (207/268)
Yellow cards
33
Red cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.950.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.231.76
Total shots
218
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
112
Blocked shots
71
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
124
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
347
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1311
Passes
85% (450/531)77% (207/268)
Long passes
58% (38/66)40% (17/43)
Passes in final third
76% (168/220)68% (34/50)
Crosses
27% (6/22)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.32
Throw ins
2119
Fouls
1113
Tackles
82% (18/22)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4040
Clearances
639
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.760.23
Goals prevented
-0.240.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Torres Patino J. P. , Sandoval L. (A),
  • 20', 0 - 2, Gonzalez J. , Lopez E. (A),
  • 30', Monzon L. , Pestana J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gutierrez T. , Muriel L. ,
  • 46', Chara Y. , Rios J. ,
  • 46', Castrillon B. , Barrios C. ,
  • 51', Nieto J. 🟨,
  • 55', Pena J. 🟨,
  • 61', Rios J. 🟨,
  • 65', Nieto J. , Ricardo E. ,
  • 65', Gonzalez J. , Florez K. ,
  • 67', Torres Patino J. P. 🟨,
  • 74', Hernandez J. 🟥,
  • 76', Celis G. , Sarmiento J. ,
  • 76', Torres Patino J. P. , Arrieta C. ,
  • 80', Muriel L. 🟨,
  • 84', Sandoval L. 🟥,
  • 85', Lopez E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Lopez E. , Martinez M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5ejcwydu

Chances of winning


Junior Barranquilla
43.2%
Draw
30.2%
Deportes Tolima
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 32.8% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 31.1% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.24)
    3.09
    (2.81)
    3.52
    (3.53)
    7.4%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 2.
    • Junior is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Deportes Tolima's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Deportes Tolima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Junior might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
    16.12.2025 Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla 0:1
    12.12.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima 3:0
    05.10.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima 0:1
    19.06.2025 Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla 2:0
    31.05.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima 1:1
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 15111330:111934
    2Dep. Pasto1584321:17428
    3Deportes Tolima1576224:131127
    4Once Caldas1567226:19725
    5Junior1581621:20125
    6America De Cali1573519:12724
    7Dep. Cali1564517:13422
    8Aguilas1564516:17-122
    9Inter Bogotu00e11557318:20-222
    10Millonarios1563625:17821
    11Llaneros1548316:14220
    12Bucaramanga1547418:14419
    13Santa Fe1547418:19-119
    14Ind. Medellin1445519:19017
    15Fortaleza1537517:23-616
    16Cucuta1636721:27-615
    17Alianza1536610:22-1215
    18Jaguares de Cordoba16421014:28-1414
    19Chico1432911:21-1011
    20Pereira1506914:29-156

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