Result
2:0
19/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 6
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (224/284) | 84% (319/378) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (224/284) | 84% (319/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (27/51) | 53% (31/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (44/72) | 63% (56/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | -1.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Lencina G. ⚽, Castro A. (A),
- 16', 2 - 0, Parra Osorio A. ⚽,
- 37', Angulo A. 🟨,
- 38', Cuenu J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hurtado Torres Y. D. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
- 46', Perez K. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 46', Guerrero J. ↓, Mosquera Moreno Y. ↑,
- 46', Angulo A. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 63', Nieto J. ↓, Reyes C. ↑,
- 70', Moreno D. ↓, Bacca M. ↑,
- 71', Lencina G. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
- 75', Cuenu J. ↓, Caicedo Vidal J. ↑,
- 75', Quintero Y. ↓, Velez Carey J. J. ↑,
- 75', Barrera J. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
- 81', Caicedo Vidal J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/57jmumja
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
46.3% | Draw
28.5% | Junior Barranquilla
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Tolima that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.23) |
3.28 ↑
(3) |
3.72 ↑
(3.52) |
7.1%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Junior will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 1.
- Deportes Tolima has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Junior is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Deportes Tolima is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Junior Barranquilla?
Deportes Tolima has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Deportes Tolima?
Junior Barranquilla has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
31.05.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
15.04.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Junior Barranquilla
0:0
04.12.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Deportes Tolima
3:2
24.11.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:0
24.08.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Junior Barranquilla
0:1
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Chico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
