Result
3:0
23/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.73 | 0.12 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
71% (188/263) | 83% (399/478) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.73 | 0.12 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.52 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
71% (188/263) | 83% (399/478) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (22/47) | 54% (38/71) |
Passes in final third |
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61% (57/94) | 65% (88/136) |
Crosses |
---|
40% (4/10) | 14% (2/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.59 | 0.66 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 31 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
93% (13/14) | 67% (6/9) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 39 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 15 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 1.52 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | -1.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Viveros S. ⚽, Giordana S. (A),
- 29', Arias J. 🟨,
- 33', 2 - 0, Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ⚽, Giordana S. (A),
- 45', Rivas J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Castrillon B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rivas J. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
- 46', Castrillon B. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
- 46', Salazar J. ↓, Angel Bernal F. S. ↑,
- 48', Angel Bernal F. S. 🟨,
- 60', Titi ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
- 63', Celis G. 🟨,
- 63', Diaz Samuel M. ↓, Cuero B. ↑,
- 68', Celis G. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
- 75', Castro A. ↓, Marimon L. ↑,
- 75', Giordana S. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 77', Marimon L. 🟨,
- 82', 3 - 0, Banguero D. ⚽, Arevalo Chaparro J. N. (A),
- 90', De Amores G. 🟨,
- 90+1', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 90+1', Viveros S. ↓, Victoria Palacios D. S. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/37fkmsmc
Chances of winning
Millonarios 60.7% | Draw 24.1% | Junior Barranquilla 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Millonarios - Junior Barranquilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↑ (1.49) |
4.6 ↑ (4.45) |
7.47 ↑ (5.9) |
-6.4% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Junior Barranquilla?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Junior will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Junior: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Junior Barranquilla will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 2.
- Recent form of Millonarios has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Junior is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Millonarios is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:3. (average 1.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Junior Barranquilla?
Millonarios has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Millonarios?
Junior Barranquilla has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
09.03.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Millonarios
2:1
07.11.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Millonarios
0:0
02.06.2024
Millonarios
-
Junior Barranquilla
2:0
04.05.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Millonarios
2:1
17.04.2024
Millonarios
-
Junior Barranquilla
3:2
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bucaramanga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | Fortaleza | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
3 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:15 | 6 | 21 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Llaneros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
8 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
11 | Alianza | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Pereira | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
13 | Millonarios | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
14 | America De Cali | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
15 | Envigado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
16 | Aguilas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 11 |
18 | La Equidad | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
19 | Chico | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 11 |
20 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )