Result
2:1
30/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 6
- Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (298/371) | 90% (440/491) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (298/371) | 90% (440/491) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (30/63) | 68% (21/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (40/76) | 79% (93/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 14% (4/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Ruggero M. ⚽,
- 20', 2 - 0, Candellone L. ⚽, Varnier M. (A),
- 31', Candellone L. ↓, Maistro F. ↑,
- 40', Mosti N. 🟨,
- 45', Trimboli S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mosti N. ↓, Pierobon C. ↑,
- 53', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
- 56', Wieser D. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
- 56', Marras T. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
- 70', Paoletti F. 🟨,
- 73', Maggioni T. ↓, Radaelli N. ↑,
- 74', Confente A. 🟨,
- 77', Bonfanti N. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
- 77', Artioli F. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
- 79', Ruggero M. ↓, Bellich M. ↑,
- 79', Piscopo K. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
- 81', Radaelli N. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Mancuso L. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5eptuaa8
Chances of winning
Juve Stabia
64.3% | Draw
21.8% | Mantova
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juve Stabia's performance.Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mantova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juve Stabia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juve Stabia - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.84) |
4.59 ↑
(3.6) |
7.31 ↑
(4.1) |
0.6%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Juve Stabia - Mantova?
Users Predictions:
Juve Stabia will win
(22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Juve Stabia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Juve Stabia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mantova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Juve Stabia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Juve Stabia is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T.
(Knee Injury)
Cacciamani A.
(Red Card)
Ciammaglichella A.
(Overload)
Mannini M.
(International duty)
Morachioli G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There will not play in Mantova: Ruocco F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juve Stabia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Juve Stabia won against Mantova?
Juve Stabia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Juve Stabia?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juve Stabia - Mantova were as follows:
08.03.2025
Mantova
-
Juve Stabia
1:1
28.08.2024
Juve Stabia
-
Mantova
1:0
11.05.2024
Juve Stabia
-
Mantova
1:4
Latest results of Juve Stabia
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Palermo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
