Result
2:0
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 35
- Referee: Giua A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (101/184) | 76% (303/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (101/184) | 76% (303/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (22/65) | 30% (15/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (45/104) | 68% (74/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 47% (8/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Buglio D. ↓, Leone G. ↑,
- 18', 1 - 0, Odogwu R. ⚽, Pyyhtia N. (A),
- 42', Odogwu R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Maistro F. 🟨,
- 56', Candellone L. 🟨,
- 63', Piscopo K. ↓, Sgarbi L. ↑,
- 63', Maistro F. ↓, Mosti N. ↑,
- 69', Pierobon C. 🟨,
- 71', Sgarbi L. 🟨,
- 73', Kofler R. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
- 73', Masiello A. ↓, Veseli F. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 0, Merkaj S. ⚽, Odogwu R. (A),
- 78', Merkaj S. 🟨,
- 80', Casiraghi D. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
- 81', Pyyhtia N. ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
- 84', Varnier M. ↓, Bellich M. ↑,
- 84', Pierobon C. ↓, Dubickas E. ↑,
- 88', Merkaj S. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
- 90', Gori G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
39% | Draw
31.6% | Juve Stabia
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juve Stabia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juve Stabia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Juve Stabia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.5) |
2.96 ↓
(3.35) |
3.19 ↑
(2.65) |
6.2%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Juve Stabia?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 57.7% – 92.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Recent matches Südtirol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Juve Stabia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Juve Stabia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Juve Stabia?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juve Stabia won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Juve Stabia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Juve Stabia were as follows:
06.12.2024
Juve Stabia
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:1
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Latest results of Juve Stabia
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
