Result
2:0
20/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Thiongo P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 80', 2 - 0, Batambuze S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kakamega Homeboyz
49.8% | Draw
28.6% | Sofapaka
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kakamega Homeboyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kakamega Homeboyz's form might have worsened.Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sofapaka's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kakamega Homeboyz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sofapaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kakamega Homeboyz - Sofapaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.5) |
3.16 ↓
(3.5) |
4.17 ↓
(7.23) |
10.8%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kakamega Homeboyz - Sofapaka?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Homeboyz won 2.
- Homeboyz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sofapaka is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Homeboyz is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Homeboyz won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Homeboyz won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Kakamega Homeboyz won against Sofapaka?
Kakamega Homeboyz has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Kakamega Homeboyz?
Sofapaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kakamega Homeboyz - Sofapaka were as follows:
03.10.2025
Sofapaka
-
Kakamega Homeboyz
0:1
27.04.2025
Kakamega Homeboyz
-
Sofapaka
0:0
02.11.2024
Sofapaka
-
Kakamega Homeboyz
2:0
19.01.2024
Sofapaka
-
Kakamega Homeboyz
1:0
10.11.2023
Kakamega Homeboyz
-
Sofapaka
5:0
Latest results of Kakamega Homeboyz
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
