Result
3:0
25/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (152/229) | 84% (427/508) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (152/229) | 84% (427/508) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (14/43) | 45% (33/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (25/48) | 67% (78/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | -1.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Wendel ⚽, Hanrattana P. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Notchaiya P. ↓, Ratniyorm S. ↑,
- 46', Mateus ↓, Kusano Y. ↑,
- 46', Stewart R. ↓, Samphaodi C. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 0, Kusano Y. ⚽, Hanrattana P. (A),
- 55', Samphaodi C. 🟨,
- 65', Ewerton 🟨,
- 72', Supunpasuch C. 🟥,
- 74', Hanrattana P. ↓, Jaroenbut N. ↑,
- 77', Oyarzun A. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 80', Dennis Murillo ↓, Mita H. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 0, Kusano Y. ⚽, Mita H. (A),
- 90+5', Becerra J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nakhon Ratchasima
28.2% | Draw
26.8% | Kanchanaburi
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Kanchanaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kanchanaburi than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kanchanaburi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nakhon Ratchasima - Kanchanaburi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↑
(3.01) |
3.41 ↑
(3.32) |
2.03 ↓
(2.21) |
9.5%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nakhon Ratchasima - Kanchanaburi?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nakhon Ratchasima will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Kanchanaburi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.25 - Nakhon Ratchasima (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Nakhon Ratchasima (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kanchanaburi will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakhon Ratchasima (votes: 2 - 50%). Kanchanaburi (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 13).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Nakhon Ratchasima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Kanchanaburi might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Kanchanaburi?
Nakhon Ratchasima has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kanchanaburi won against Nakhon Ratchasima?
Kanchanaburi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Ratchasima - Kanchanaburi were as follows:
14.09.2025
Kanchanaburi
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
0:0
02.03.2024
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Kanchanaburi
3:1
04.11.2023
Kanchanaburi
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
1:1
Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
Latest results of Kanchanaburi
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 71:23 | 48 | 66 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:21 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Chonburi | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 27 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 33:45 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 19:39 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 22 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:39 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | Muang Thong Utd | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
