Nakhon Ratchasima vs Kanchanaburi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

80th Birthday Stadium (Nakhon Ratchasima).

Thai League 1 - Round 18
Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.11	0.89
Ball possession
30%	70%
Total shots
10	14
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
1	7
Passes
66% (152/229)	84% (427/508)
Yellow cards
1	2
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.11	0.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.36	0.50
Total shots
10	14
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
6	9
Blocked shots
0	2
Shots inside the box
7	6
Shots outside the box
3	8
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
1	7
Touches in opposition box
11	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free kicks
9	12
Passes
66% (152/229)	84% (427/508)
Long passes
33% (14/43)	45% (33/73)
Passes in final third
52% (25/48)	67% (78/116)
Crosses
40% (2/5)	22% (6/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.46	0.73
Throw ins
17	27
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
87% (13/15)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
39	47
Clearances
28	12
Interceptions
5	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.50	1.36
Goals prevented
0.50	-1.64

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Wendel ⚽, Hanrattana P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Notchaiya P. ↓, Ratniyorm S. ↑,
46', Mateus ↓, Kusano Y. ↑,
46', Stewart R. ↓, Samphaodi C. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Kusano Y. ⚽, Hanrattana P. (A),
55', Samphaodi C. 🟨,
65', Ewerton 🟨,
72', Supunpasuch C. 🟥,
74', Hanrattana P. ↓, Jaroenbut N. ↑,
77', Oyarzun A. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
80', Dennis Murillo ↓, Mita H. ↑,
88', 3 - 0, Kusano Y. ⚽, Mita H. (A),
90+5', Becerra J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Nakhon Ratchasima
28.2%

Draw
26.8%

Kanchanaburi
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

27.7%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

26%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Kanchanaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kanchanaburi than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kanchanaburi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nakhon Ratchasima - Kanchanaburi Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.01)	3.41 ↑ (3.32)	2.03 ↓ (2.21)	9.5% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Nakhon Ratchasima - Kanchanaburi?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nakhon Ratchasima will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Kanchanaburi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kanchanaburi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Nakhon Ratchasima (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Nakhon Ratchasima (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Nakhon Ratchasima (votes: 2 - 50%). Kanchanaburi (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 13).
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Nakhon Ratchasima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
Kanchanaburi might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Kanchanaburi?

Nakhon Ratchasima has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kanchanaburi won against Nakhon Ratchasima?

Kanchanaburi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Ratchasima - Kanchanaburi were as follows:

14.09.2025 Kanchanaburi - Nakhon Ratchasima 0:0

02.03.2024 Nakhon Ratchasima - Kanchanaburi 3:1

04.11.2023 Kanchanaburi - Nakhon Ratchasima 1:1

Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima

18.01.2026 Ratchaburi - Nakhon Ratchasima 1:0 ✺

28.12.2025 Lopburi City - Nakhon Ratchasima 1:2 ✺

13.12.2025 Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima 2:1 ✺

07.12.2025 Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United 0:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Uthai Thani - Nakhon Ratchasima 7:0 ✺

Latest results of Kanchanaburi

17.01.2026 Kanchanaburi - Muangthong United 3:0 ✺

14.01.2026 Bangkok United - Kanchanaburi 3:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Bangkok United - Kanchanaburi 1:1 ✺

27.12.2025 Khonkaen United - Kanchanaburi 1:0 ✺

24.12.2025 Pathum United - Kanchanaburi 2:1 ✺

Thai League 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Buriram	21	17	2	2	57:20	37	53
2	Ratchaburi	21	13	3	5	35:19	16	42
3	Port MTI FC	22	12	4	6	42:19	23	40
4	Bangkok Utd	21	11	7	3	33:21	12	40
5	Pathum United	22	11	6	5	33:22	11	39
6	Prachuap	22	7	10	5	29:28	1	31
7	Ayutthaya Utd	22	7	8	7	29:31	-2	29
8	Rayong FC	21	7	7	7	32:29	3	28
9	Chiangrai Utd	22	6	10	6	28:31	-3	28
10	Uthai Thani	22	6	7	9	34:37	-3	25
11	Chonburi	22	6	7	9	25:28	-3	25
12	Lamphun Warrior	22	3	12	7	29:39	-10	21
13	Sukhothai	22	4	9	9	16:32	-16	21
14	Kanchanaburi	23	2	10	11	22:44	-22	16
15	Muang Thong Utd	22	3	6	13	19:42	-23	15
16	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	21	3	4	14	14:35	-21	13

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Thai League 2