Result
2:1
13/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.34 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (482/539) | 79% (290/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.34 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (482/539) | 79% (290/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 50% (30/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (116/148) | 58% (57/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 62', Chatthong S. ↓, Gildo ↑,
- 69', 0 - 1, Lemdee B. ⚽, Wendel (A),
- 73', 1 - 1, Gildo ⚽,
- 77', Aranpiroj R. ↓, Denman A. ↑,
- 83', Lemdee B. ↓, Mungdee A. ↑,
- 87', Bangsungnoen R. ↓, Sanmahung J. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Baggio J. ⚽,
- 90', Otton C. ↓, Phatthaphon P. ↑,
- 90', Logarwit S. ↓, Kanlayanabandit S. ↑,
- 90+1', Martinez Viti ↓, Athisaraworameth T. ↑,
- 90+1', Mateusinho ↓, Elias ↑,
- 90+2', Kanlayanabandit S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sukhothai
54.3% | Draw
24.4% | Nakhon Ratchasima
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sukhothai's performance.Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nakhon Ratchasima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sukhothai that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nakhon Ratchasima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(2.06) |
3.74 ↑
(3.58) |
4.28 ↑
(3.1) |
9.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Sukhothai (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sukhothai (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 1.
- Sukhothai has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nakhon Ratchasima has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nakhon Ratchasima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sukhothai is a strong favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sukhothai won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sukhothai won against Nakhon Ratchasima?
Sukhothai has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Sukhothai?
Nakhon Ratchasima has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima were as follows:
21.02.2025
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Sukhothai
2:2
05.10.2024
Sukhothai
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
1:0
10.03.2023
Sukhothai
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
2:3
14.10.2022
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Sukhothai
1:1
Latest results of Sukhothai
Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 71:23 | 48 | 66 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:21 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Chonburi | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 27 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 33:45 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 19:39 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 22 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:39 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | Muang Thong Utd | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
