Gabala vs Kapaz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
10/01/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Club Friendly

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Massoumou D. J. ,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Akinade I. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 71', 2 - 1, ,
  • 78', 3 - 1, ,
  • 90+1', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Gabala
59.9%
Draw
22.5%
Kapaz
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 29.3% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 28.8% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabala's performance.
  • Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kapaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabala that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kapaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gabala - Kapaz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (2.09)
    4.88
    (3.11)
    6.27
    (3.36)
    -9.1%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Gabala has had a series of home games.
    • Gabala might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gabala won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gabala - Kapaz were as follows:
    14.12.2025 Kapaz - Gabala 1:0
    20.09.2025 Gabala - Kapaz 3:0
    28.04.2024 Gabala - Kapaz 0:1
    23.02.2024 Kapaz - Gabala 2:1
    09.12.2023 Gabala - Kapaz 0:3
    Latest results of Gabala
    21.12.2025 Gabala - Qarabağ Agdam 1:2
    14.12.2025 Kapaz - Gabala 1:0
    04.12.2025 Gabala - Şəfa 2:1
    30.11.2025 Gabala - Araz Naxçıvan 2:1
    22.11.2025 Zira - Gabala 1:0
    Latest results of Kapaz
    19.12.2025 Kapaz - Turan Tovuz 0:2
    14.12.2025 Kapaz - Gabala 1:0
    09.12.2025 Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz 2:0
    04.12.2025 Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz 0:1
    28.11.2025 Kapaz - Zira 0:2