Result
1:4
17/10/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', 1 - 0, Cezar ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, Nabiyev F. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 2, Nabiyev F. ⚽,
- 44', 🟨,
- 44', Verdasca D. 🟨,
- 45+1', Shuaibu A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 3, Pachu (Pen),
- 80', 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 4, ⚽,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shamakhi
55.4% | Draw
26.7% | Kapaz
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shamakhi's form might have worsened.Kapaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kapaz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shamakhi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kapaz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shamakhi - Kapaz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.42) |
3.49 ↓
(3.94) |
5.21 ↓
(7.42) |
7.4%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shamakhi - Kapaz?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Shamakhi will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shamakhi (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ I Liqa).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 2.
- In recent matches, Shamakhi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kapaz is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Kapaz has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Shamakhi is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Kapaz?
Shamakhi has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Shamakhi?
Kapaz has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamakhi - Kapaz were as follows:
20.04.2025
Shamakhi
-
Kapaz
2:1
17.02.2025
Kapaz
-
Shamakhi
1:1
30.11.2024
Shamakhi
-
Kapaz
0:1
20.09.2024
Kapaz
-
Shamakhi
0:2
21.04.2023
Shamakhi
-
Kapaz
1:1
Latest results of Shamakhi
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Turan Tovuz | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Zira | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Araz | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sabah Baku | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Sumqayit | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Imisli FK | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Neftci Baku | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Shamakhi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Gabala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Karvan | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 5 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
