Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 30
- Referee: Pechanec O. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (206/281) | 81% (320/394) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 2.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (206/281) | 81% (320/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/54) | 45% (24/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (67/110) | 73% (72/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.63 | 2.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', Skyba Y. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Ezeh L. ⚽, Ayaosi E. (A),
- 42', 0 - 2, Traore A. ⚽, Chytry J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Skyba Y. ↓, Kristan J. ↑,
- 46', Penxa L. ↓, Mikus R. ↑,
- 46', Tijani S. ↓, Zitny M. ↑,
- 46', Gilbert D. ↓, Kreiker D. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 2, Kreiker D. ⚽, Cermak M. (A),
- 65', Velasquez D. ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
- 65', Sehovic Z. ↓, Pourzitidis M. ↑,
- 67', Fleisman J. ↓, Milic N. ↑,
- 67', Ayaosi E. ↓, Conde O. ↑,
- 67', Prebsl F. ↓, Kacor P. ↑,
- 72', Lawali Y. 🟨,
- 82', Ezeh L. ↓, Bohac S. ↑,
- 82', Neuman V. 🟨,
- 90+4', Pekhart T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dukla Prague
39.3% | Draw
28.3% | Karviná
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dukla Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dukla Prague's performance.Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karviná might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dukla Prague that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karviná could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dukla Prague - Karviná Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(3) |
3.31 ↓
(3.4) |
2.92 ↑
(2.18) |
6.5%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dukla Prague - Karviná?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Dukla Prague will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Karviná will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Dukla Prague: Cisse N.
(Injury)
Kadak J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Karviná: Sigut S.
(Suspended)
Storman R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Karviná: Labik A.
(Health problems)
Neuman V.
(Health problems)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dukla Prague won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Dukla Prague won against Karviná?
Dukla Prague has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Dukla Prague?
Karviná has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dukla Prague - Karviná were as follows:
19.07.2025
Karviná
-
Dukla Prague
2:0
12.03.2025
Dukla Prague
-
Karviná
0:0
01.09.2024
Karviná
-
Dukla Prague
0:0
13.05.2023
Dukla Prague
-
Karviná
0:3
22.10.2022
Karviná
-
Dukla Prague
5:0
Latest results of Dukla Prague
Latest results of Karviná
Czech 1 Liga Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 63:23 | 40 | 71 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 60:33 | 27 | 63 |
| 3 | Plzen | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50:34 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
| 5 | Hradec Kralove | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 6 | Liberec | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 43:30 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 34:34 | 0 | 43 |
| 8 | FK Pardubice | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 41 |
| 9 | Karvina | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 43:51 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 26:35 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | Zlin | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 37:48 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Teplice | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 29:38 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Dukla Prague | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 20:42 | -22 | 23 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 23 |
| 16 | Ostrava | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 25:45 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
