Result
0:1
02/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 3
- Referee: Vokoun D. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (332/410) | 60% (139/231) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (332/410) | 60% (139/231) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (29/53) | 35% (27/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (63/99) | 51% (52/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 0% (0/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Fleisman J. (Own goal),
- 14', Didiba J. 🟨,
- 36', Bohac S. 🟨,
- 37', Koubek M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bartosak L. ↓, Natchkebia Z. ↑,
- 46', Didiba J. ↓, Petruta S. ↑,
- 46', Samko D. 🟨,
- 46', Bohac S. ↓, Planka D. ↑,
- 67', Nombil C. 🟨,
- 67', Ayaosi E. ↓, Conde O. ↑,
- 68', Samko D. ↓, Storman R. ↑,
- 69', Koubek M. ↓, Kanu S. ↑,
- 72', Singhateh E. 🟥,
- 74', Fukala M. ↓, Kalabiska J. ↑,
- 85', Buzek A. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
- 85', Gning A. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
- 90+5', Natchkebia Z. ↓, Kolar J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Karviná
47.9% | Draw
26.4% | Zlín
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Karviná have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Zlín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Karviná - Zlín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.95) |
3.62 ↑
(3.4) |
3.73 ↓
(3.8) |
3.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Karviná - Zlín?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Karviná (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Karviná will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 2.
- Karviná is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Zlín has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Zlín has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Karviná is considered a favorite.
- There are questionable in Karviná: Chytry J.
(Injury)
Lapes J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Zlín?
Karviná has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zlín won against Karviná?
Zlín has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karviná - Zlín were as follows:
12.05.2024
Karviná
-
Zlín
2:2
28.04.2024
Zlín
-
Karviná
0:1
22.07.2023
Karviná
-
Zlín
4:1
Latest results of Karviná
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sparta Prague | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Slavia Prague | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Plzen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Zlin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Liberec | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Karvina | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Hradec Kralove | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Teplice | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Ostrava | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | FK Pardubice | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Mlada Boleslav | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17:27 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
