Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
China | K-Ball |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | PSJ TV |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.62 | 1.58 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
82% (465/567) | 78% (259/330) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.62 | 1.58 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.83 | 1.14 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 28 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
82% (465/567) | 78% (259/330) |
Long passes |
---|
32% (19/59) | 50% (19/38) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (117/162) | 72% (78/108) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (2/15) | 36% (4/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.72 | 1.49 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (9/18) | 42% (8/19) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 38 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.14 | 0.83 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.14 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Higuchi Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 1, Usui S. ⚽, Fujimoto K. (A),
- 55', Shibasaki G. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
- 55', Misao K. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
- 55', Higuchi Y. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 62', Cavric A. ↓, Elber ↑,
- 68', Usui S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
- 70', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
- 72', Wellington 🟨,
- 75', Fujimoto K. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
- 75', Shigemi M. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
- 77', Chinen K. 🟨,
- 80', Nago S. ↓, Miki T. ↑,
- 81', Maejima Y. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
- 84', Ando T. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 1, Funabashi Y. ⚽,
- 90+2', Akino H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kashima Antlers 45.7% | Draw 29% | Avispa Fukuoka 25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kashima Antlers's form might have worsened.Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashima Antlers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.06 ↑ (1.7) |
3.28 ↓ (3.7) |
3.75 ↓ (4.44) |
5.7% (8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 2.
- Kashima is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Avispa Fukuoka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kashima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J.
(Knee Injury)
Oda I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Shichi T.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Kashima Antlers has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Kashima Antlers?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
06.08.2025
Kashima Antlers
-
Avispa Fukuoka
3:2
06.05.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Kashima Antlers
0:1
19.10.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:0
03.04.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Kashima Antlers
1:0
30.09.2023
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Kashima Antlers
0:0
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
2 | Machida | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
4 | Vissel Kobe | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 33:19 | 14 | 49 |
6 | Kyoto | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 48 |
7 | Urawa Reds | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 42 |
9 | Okayama | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 26:23 | 3 | 39 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 37 |
12 | Gamba Osaka | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Verdy | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 31 |
15 | FC Tokyo | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
16 | Nagoya Grampus | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33:41 | -8 | 28 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Shonan Bellmare | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22:42 | -20 | 25 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League