Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima Antlers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka).

J1 League - Round 15
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.45	1.92
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
9	14
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
74% (255/346)	79% (359/456)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45	1.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.01	1.44
Total shots
9	14
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
3	9
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
10	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
15	20
Passes
74% (255/346)	79% (359/456)
Long passes
27% (18/67)	37% (19/52)
Passes in final third
51% (48/95)	65% (45/69)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	60% (6/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.41	1.16
Throw-ins
22	20
Fouls
20	15
Tackles
65% (11/17)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
61	61
Clearances
11	22
Interceptions
12	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.44	0.01
Goals prevented
0.44	0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Ando T. 🟨,
28', Tagawa K. ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
32', Miki T. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Leo Ceara (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Zahedi S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
58', Konno K. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
58', Akino H. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
65', Talles Brener ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
65', Funabashi Y. ↓, Misao K. ↑,
69', Shichi T. 🟨,
71', Chinen K. 🟨,
72', Maejima Y. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
74', Wellington ↓, Sato S. ↑,
80', Chinen K. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
80', Cavric A. ↓, Araki R. ↑,
90+4', Anzai K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Avispa Fukuoka
37.4%

Draw
30.4%

Kashima Antlers
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

30.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.4)	3.1 ↓ (3.14)	2.95 ↓ (3.05)	6.2% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 29% – 96%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
In recent matches, Avispa Fukuoka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kashima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Nara T. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kashima: Morooka S. (Inactive) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Kashima Antlers?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Kashima Antlers has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers were as follows:

19.10.2024 Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0

03.04.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers 1:0

30.09.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers 0:0

19.04.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers 2:1

05.04.2023 Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

03.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 ✺

29.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0 ✺

25.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama 1:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka 3:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Tochigi - Avispa Fukuoka 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Kashima Antlers

03.05.2025 Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia 1:0 ✺

29.04.2025 Yokohama FC - Kashima Antlers 0:3 ✺

25.04.2025 Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Kashima Antlers 1:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	24	10	8	6	32:24	8	38
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	24	8	8	8	21:23	-2	32
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League