Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka
Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
chinaChinaK-Ball
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.58
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
82% (465/567)78% (259/330)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.831.14
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1828
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
127
Passes
82% (465/567)78% (259/330)
Long passes
32% (19/59)50% (19/38)
Passes in final third
72% (117/162)72% (78/108)
Crosses
13% (2/15)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.49
Throw-ins
2720
Fouls
712
Tackles
50% (9/18)42% (8/19)
Duels won
4251
Clearances
1738
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.140.83
Goals prevented
0.14-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Higuchi Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Usui S. , Fujimoto K. (A),
  • 55', Shibasaki G. , Chinen K. ,
  • 55', Misao K. , Funabashi Y. ,
  • 55', Higuchi Y. , Matsumura Y. ,
  • 62', Cavric A. , Elber ,
  • 68', Usui S. , Wellington ,
  • 70', Leo Ceara , Tagawa K. ,
  • 72', Wellington 🟨,
  • 75', Fujimoto K. , Iwasaki Y. ,
  • 75', Shigemi M. , Akino H. ,
  • 77', Chinen K. 🟨,
  • 80', Nago S. , Miki T. ,
  • 81', Maejima Y. , Hashimoto Y. ,
  • 84', Ando T. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Funabashi Y. ,
  • 90+2', Akino H. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Kashima Antlers
45.7%
Draw
29%
Avispa Fukuoka
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 24.9% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 24.4% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kashima Antlers's form might have worsened.
  • Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashima Antlers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.7)
    3.28
    (3.7)
    3.75
    (4.44)
    5.7%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 39.2%89.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 2.
    • Kashima is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Avispa Fukuoka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kashima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Shichi T. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka 3:2
    06.05.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers 0:1
    19.10.2024 Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0
    03.04.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers 1:0
    30.09.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers 0:0
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers33205852:282465
    2Kyoto33179757:352260
    3Kashiwa Reysol331612548:331560
    4Vissel Kobe33186943:281560
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima33177939:231658
    6Machida331671049:351455
    7Kawasaki Frontale331411860:451553
    8Urawa Reds331410940:32852
    9Gamba Osaka331551346:47-150
    10Cerezo Osaka3311101250:49143
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3310111235:39-441
    12Okayama331181429:35-641
    13FC Tokyo331181436:46-1041
    14Avispa Fukuoka3310101332:37-540
    15Nagoya Grampus331091440:48-839
    16Verdy331091421:35-1439
    17Yokohama F. Marinos33871832:44-1231
    18Yokohama FC33871821:37-1631
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata334101930:55-2522

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League