Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | PSJ TV |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (465/567) | 78% (259/330) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (465/567) | 78% (259/330) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (19/59) | 50% (19/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (117/162) | 72% (78/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 42% (8/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Higuchi Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 1, Usui S. ⚽, Fujimoto K. (A),
- 55', Shibasaki G. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
- 55', Misao K. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
- 55', Higuchi Y. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 62', Cavric A. ↓, Elber ↑,
- 68', Usui S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
- 70', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
- 72', Wellington 🟨,
- 75', Fujimoto K. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
- 75', Shigemi M. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
- 77', Chinen K. 🟨,
- 80', Nago S. ↓, Miki T. ↑,
- 81', Maejima Y. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
- 84', Ando T. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 1, Funabashi Y. ⚽,
- 90+2', Akino H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kashima Antlers
45.7% | Draw
29% | Avispa Fukuoka
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kashima Antlers's form might have worsened.Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashima Antlers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.7) |
3.28 ↓
(3.7) |
3.75 ↓
(4.44) |
5.7%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 2.
- Kashima is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Avispa Fukuoka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kashima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J.
(Knee Injury)
Oda I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Shichi T.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Kashima Antlers has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Kashima Antlers?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
06.08.2025
Kashima Antlers
-
Avispa Fukuoka
3:2
06.05.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Kashima Antlers
0:1
19.10.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:0
03.04.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Kashima Antlers
1:0
30.09.2023
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Kashima Antlers
0:0
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:38 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | Okayama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 16 | Verdy | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 16:29 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:50 | -24 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
