Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
chinaChinaK-Ball
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.96
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
411
Passes
79% (313/396)87% (542/623)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.100.17
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
411
Touches in opposition box
1933
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
157
Passes
79% (313/396)87% (542/623)
Long passes
23% (12/53)54% (32/59)
Passes in final third
65% (84/130)79% (158/199)
Crosses
29% (4/14)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.00
Throw-ins
1222
Fouls
715
Tackles
68% (13/19)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4332
Clearances
2519
Interceptions
312
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.171.10
Goals prevented
-0.830.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Hosoya M. , Nakagawa N. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 1, Fernandes L. , Shibayama M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Hosoya M. , Kakita Y. ,
  • 53', Mitsumaru H. 🟨,
  • 66', Thiago Andrade , Homma S. ,
  • 66', Rafael Ratao , Nakajima M. ,
  • 66', Tanaka S. , Yoshino K. ,
  • 74', Nakama H. , Komi Y. ,
  • 74', Koyamatsu T. , Diego ,
  • 85', Shibayama M. , Kida H. ,
  • 86', Harada W. , Katayama E. ,
  • 90', Koizumi Y. , Toshima S. ,
  • 90+7', Kagawa S. , Vitor Bueno ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
33.3%
Draw
26.1%
Kashiwa Reysol
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 25.8% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 25.7% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.8)
    3.61
    (3.7)
    2.34
    (2.38)
    5.9%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 1 - 50%). Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1.
    • Recent performances by Cerezo Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kashiwa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Cerezo Osaka 2:1
    28.09.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 0:0
    03.04.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Cerezo Osaka 1:1
    12.08.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Cerezo Osaka 1:1
    23.04.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 1:0
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers33205852:282465
    2Kyoto33179757:352260
    3Kashiwa Reysol331612548:331560
    4Vissel Kobe33186943:281560
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima33177939:231658
    6Machida331671049:351455
    7Kawasaki Frontale331411860:451553
    8Urawa Reds331410940:32852
    9Gamba Osaka331551346:47-150
    10Cerezo Osaka3311101250:49143
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3310111235:39-441
    12Okayama331181429:35-641
    13FC Tokyo331181436:46-1041
    14Avispa Fukuoka3310101332:37-540
    15Nagoya Grampus331091440:48-839
    16Verdy331091421:35-1439
    17Yokohama F. Marinos33871832:44-1231
    18Yokohama FC33871821:37-1631
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata334101930:55-2522

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          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League