Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
China | K-Ball |
Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.41 | 0.96 |
Ball Possession |
---|
39% | 61% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
79% (313/396) | 87% (542/623) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.41 | 0.96 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.10 | 0.17 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 11 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 33 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
79% (313/396) | 87% (542/623) |
Long passes |
---|
23% (12/53) | 54% (32/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (84/130) | 79% (158/199) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (4/14) | 36% (5/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.53 | 1.00 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
68% (13/19) | 75% (9/12) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 32 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.17 | 1.10 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.83 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Hosoya M. ⚽, Nakagawa N. (A),
- 40', 1 - 1, Fernandes L. ⚽, Shibayama M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hosoya M. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
- 53', Mitsumaru H. 🟨,
- 66', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 66', Rafael Ratao ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
- 66', Tanaka S. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
- 74', Nakama H. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
- 74', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
- 85', Shibayama M. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
- 86', Harada W. ↓, Katayama E. ↑,
- 90', Koizumi Y. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
- 90+7', Kagawa S. ↓, Vitor Bueno ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka 33.3% | Draw 26.1% | Kashiwa Reysol 40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.82 ↑ (2.8) |
3.61 ↓ (3.7) |
2.34 ↓ (2.38) |
5.9% (4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 1 - 50%). Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1.
- Recent performances by Cerezo Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kashiwa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Cerezo Osaka has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Cerezo Osaka?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
26.02.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
28.09.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:0
03.04.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:1
12.08.2023
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:1
23.04.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:0
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Kyoto | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 48:33 | 15 | 60 |
4 | Vissel Kobe | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 60 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 58 |
6 | Machida | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 52 |
9 | Gamba Osaka | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 50 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 50:49 | 1 | 43 |
11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
12 | Okayama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 41 |
13 | FC Tokyo | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 41 |
14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 40 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
16 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32:44 | -12 | 31 |
18 | Yokohama FC | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21:37 | -16 | 31 |
19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 30:55 | -25 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League