Result
2:1
06/03/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (221/295) | 84% (518/615) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 49 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (221/295) | 84% (518/615) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (19/53) | 45% (25/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (40/75) | 72% (122/170) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.10 | -1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Carlinhos Junior ↓, Issaka Z. ↑,
- 42', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, Tsukui T. ⚽,
- 61', 2 - 0, Ishikawa D. ⚽,
- 62', Komi Y. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
- 62', Sugioka D. ↓, Mitsumaru H. ↑,
- 62', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 62', Yamauchi H. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 65', Konishi Y. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
- 77', Eduardo ↓, Amagasa T. ↑,
- 77', Hidaka M. ↓, Igari Y. ↑,
- 77', Himeno M. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
- 84', Tsukui T. ↓, Goya H. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Kubo T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
JEF United Chiba
19.9% | Draw
25.2% | Kashiwa Reysol
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
JEF United Chiba - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.7 ↑
(4.59) |
3.73 ↓
(3.91) |
1.71
(1.71) |
6.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba - Kashiwa Reysol?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - JEF United (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - JEF United (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kashiwa Reysol will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kashiwa Reysol will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. JEF United (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Kashiwa (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 1.
- JEF United is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kashiwa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kashiwa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Kashiwa is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in JEF United: Tanaka K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.7:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, JEF United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has JEF United Chiba won against Kashiwa Reysol?
JEF United Chiba has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against JEF United Chiba?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between JEF United Chiba - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
31.01.2026
Kashiwa Reysol
-
JEF United Chiba
2:1
09.02.2025
JEF United Chiba
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:3
18.02.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
JEF United Chiba
1:2
Latest results of JEF United Chiba
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
