Result
2:0
19/04/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (428/510) | 81% (354/437) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (428/510) | 81% (354/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/64) | 39% (18/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (104/144) | 72% (73/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Kubo T. 🟥,
- 39', Yamauchi H. ↓, Yamanouchi Y. ↑,
- 45+1', Danilo Cardoso 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Komi Y. ↓, Sugioka D. ↑,
- 46', Toshima S. ↓, Konishi Y. ↑,
- 46', Danilo Cardoso ↓, Ushizawa T. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Tada K. ⚽, Mase T. (A),
- 62', Baba S. ↓, Harada W. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 0, Watanabe A. ⚽, Tada K. (A),
- 66', Matheus Leiria ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
- 70', Hosoya M. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 75', Watanabe A. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
- 75', Semba T. ↓, Yamazaki K. ↑,
- 75', Yamazaki K. 🟨,
- 77', Kimori D. 🟥,
- 90+1', Iida T. ↓, Yamashita Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mito HollyHock
21.7% | Draw
28.3% | Kashiwa Reysol
50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Mito HollyHock - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.3 ↓
(4.52) |
3.35 ↓
(3.47) |
1.88 ↑
(1.76) |
6.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mito HollyHock - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place))
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mito HollyHock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kashiwa is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Kato C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Harada W.
(Injury)
Konishi Y.
(Inactive)
Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Mito HollyHock won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mito HollyHock won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Mito HollyHock has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Mito HollyHock?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mito HollyHock - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
22.03.2026
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Mito HollyHock
3:0
Latest results of Mito HollyHock
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
