Shonan Bellmare vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka).

J1 League - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.61	1.04
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
15	13
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
13	5
Passes
81% (369/456)	85% (391/460)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61	1.04
xG on target (xGOT)
0.22	1.54
Total shots
15	13
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
6	5
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
10	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
13	5
Touches in opposition box
22	26
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
12	6
Passes
81% (369/456)	85% (391/460)
Long passes
28% (15/53)	46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
67% (102/153)	78% (103/132)
Crosses
26% (7/27)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.09	1.38
Fouls
6	12
Tackles
61% (11/18)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
51	41
Clearances Total
15	33
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.54	0.22
Goals prevented
-0.10	0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Onose K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Kakita Y. ⚽, Hosoya M. (A),
52', Yamada Y. 🟨,
63', Koizumi Y. ↓, Watai M. ↑,
63', Yamada Y. ↓, Shirai E. ↑,
64', Kakita Y. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
67', Onose K. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
74', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
75', Ikeda M. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
75', Suzuki A. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
77', Harada W. ↓, Inukai T. ↑,
84', Fujii T. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
84', Okuno K. ↓, Barada A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shonan Bellmare
31.8%

Draw
30%

Kashiwa Reysol
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

30.2%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

30.4%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.77)	3.13 ↑ (3.11)	2.47 ↓ (2.61)	6.2% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 5).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 1.
Recent matches Shonan Bellmare is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kashiwa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kashiwa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Shonan Bellmare have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Hiraoka T. (Hamstring Injury) Ishibashi S. (Ankle Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 27:31 (average 1.4:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:17 (average 1.3:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Shonan Bellmare has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Shonan Bellmare?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:

17.08.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol 1:2

15.05.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare 2:1

08.07.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare 1:1

03.05.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol 1:2

05.11.2022 Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare 1:2

Latest results of Shonan Bellmare

12.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

09.04.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Shonan Bellmare 1:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Shonan Bellmare 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

16.04.2025 Fukushima United - Kashiwa Reysol 2:3 ✺

11.04.2025 Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	23	10	7	6	32:24	8	37
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	23	8	7	8	21:23	-2	31
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

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      Relegation ~ J2 League