Kashiwa Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium (Kashiwa).

J1 League - Round 25
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.10	0.53
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
7	1
Passes
90% (646/720)	78% (259/330)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10	0.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.01	0.03
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
9	1
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
7	1
Touches in opposition box
28	7
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
90% (646/720)	78% (259/330)
Long passes
42% (16/38)	27% (13/48)
Passes in final third
82% (169/206)	62% (48/77)
Crosses
11% (2/19)	0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.51	0.19
Throw-ins
23	17
Fouls
13	13
Tackles
70% (7/10)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
39	38
Clearances
11	23
Interceptions
8	13
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.03	2.01
Goals prevented
0.03	0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Baba S. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Koyamatsu T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Nakama H. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
58', Toshima S. ↓, Harakawa R. ↑,
58', Oda Y. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
58', Ikeda M. ↓, Hiraoka T. ↑,
65', Ota S. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
65', Fujii T. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
79', Onose K. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
80', Watai M. ↓, Konishi Y. ↑,
80', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
87', Hosoya M. 🟨,
90', 2 - 0, Nakagawa N. ⚽, Konishi Y. (A),
90+1', Baba S. ↓, Inukai T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kashiwa Reysol
60.4%

Draw
22.4%

Shonan Bellmare
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

21.4%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.52)	4.16 ↓ (4.31)	5.56 ↓ (6.01)	6% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 77.8% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 50%). Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 4.
Kashiwa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shonan Bellmare is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Kashiwa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Kashiwa is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Harada W. (Yellow Cards) Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Takahashi N. (Shoulder Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Shonan Bellmare?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Shonan Bellmare has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:

20.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol 0:1

17.08.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol 1:2

15.05.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare 2:1

08.07.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare 1:1

03.05.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol 1:2

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

30.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Reims 2:1 ✺

20.07.2025 Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol 3:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 1:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga 3:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Shonan Bellmare

23.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare 4:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka 3:3 ✺

16.07.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare 4:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia 1:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	34	20	6	8	52:28	24	66
2	Kashiwa Reysol	34	17	12	5	53:33	20	63
3	Kyoto	34	17	10	7	58:36	22	61
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	34	17	8	9	39:23	16	59
6	Kawasaki Frontale	34	15	11	8	65:48	17	56
7	Machida	34	16	8	10	49:35	14	56
8	Urawa Reds	34	14	10	10	40:36	4	52
9	Gamba Osaka	34	15	5	14	46:52	-6	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	34	12	10	12	52:50	2	46
11	FC Tokyo	34	11	9	14	36:46	-10	42
12	Verdy	34	11	9	14	22:35	-13	42
13	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	34	10	11	13	38:44	-6	41
15	Okayama	34	11	8	15	30:37	-7	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	34	10	10	14	42:50	-8	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	34	9	7	18	36:44	-8	34
18	Yokohama FC	34	8	8	18	23:39	-16	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League