Result
2:0
10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.10 | 0.53 |
Ball Possession |
---|
69% | 31% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
90% (646/720) | 78% (259/330) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.10 | 0.53 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.01 | 0.03 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 7 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
90% (646/720) | 78% (259/330) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (16/38) | 27% (13/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
82% (169/206) | 62% (48/77) |
Crosses |
---|
11% (2/19) | 0% (0/5) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.51 | 0.19 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (7/10) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 38 |
Clearances |
---|
11 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.03 | 2.01 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.03 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Baba S. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Koyamatsu T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Nakama H. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 58', Toshima S. ↓, Harakawa R. ↑,
- 58', Oda Y. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
- 58', Ikeda M. ↓, Hiraoka T. ↑,
- 65', Ota S. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
- 65', Fujii T. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
- 79', Onose K. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
- 80', Watai M. ↓, Konishi Y. ↑,
- 80', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 87', Hosoya M. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 0, Nakagawa N. ⚽, Konishi Y. (A),
- 90+1', Baba S. ↓, Inukai T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol 60.4% | Draw 22.4% | Shonan Bellmare 17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.56 ↑ (1.52) |
4.16 ↓ (4.31) |
5.56 ↓ (6.01) |
6% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 77.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 50%). Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 4.
- Kashiwa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Shonan Bellmare is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kashiwa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Kashiwa is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Harada W.
(Yellow Cards)
Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Matsumoto K.
(Knee Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Takahashi N.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Shonan Bellmare?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Shonan Bellmare has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
20.04.2025
Shonan Bellmare
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:1
17.08.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:2
15.05.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Shonan Bellmare
2:1
08.07.2023
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Shonan Bellmare
1:1
03.05.2023
Shonan Bellmare
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:2
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kyoto | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:30 | 22 | 54 |
2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
3 | Vissel Kobe | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 53 |
4 | Kashima Antlers | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 52 |
5 | Machida | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 50 |
6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 34:20 | 14 | 50 |
7 | Urawa Reds | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:38 | 12 | 45 |
9 | Gamba Osaka | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 40 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 39 |
11 | Okayama | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
14 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
15 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
16 | Nagoya Grampus | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 29 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:35 | -9 | 25 |
18 | Shonan Bellmare | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:47 | -21 | 25 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 23 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League