Kashiwa Reysol vs Tokyo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium (Kashiwa).

J1 League - Round 23
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	0.74
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
85% (470/556)	79% (303/382)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	0.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.33	0.52
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
5	5
Shots inside the Box
8	11
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
25	28
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
6	8
Passes
85% (470/556)	79% (303/382)
Long passes
40% (16/40)	48% (29/61)
Passes in final third
74% (129/174)	66% (60/91)
Crosses
57% (4/7)	35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.24	0.39
Throw-ins
21	25
Fouls
8	6
Tackles
83% (20/24)	27% (3/11)
Duels won
46	40
Clearances
25	15
Interceptions
11	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
0.52	0.33
Goals prevented
0.52	-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Nakagawa T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Yamada Y. 🟨,
59', Nozawa L. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
59', Nakagawa T. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
67', Watai M. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
71', Endo K. ↓, Tawaratsumida K. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Kubo T. ⚽, Koyamatsu T. (A),
82', Ko T. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,
82', Muroya S. ↓, Nagatomo Y. ↑,
86', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
86', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
88', Diego 🟨,
89', Koizumi Y. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kashiwa Reysol
52.2%

Draw
24.8%

Tokyo
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.2%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

23.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.74)	3.78 ↓ (3.94)	4.12 ↓ (4.58)	6.6% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 58.6% – 97%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashiwa Reysol will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 1.
Kashiwa is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tokyo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kashiwa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Harakawa R. (Inactive) Kumasaka K. (Inactive) Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury) Tezuka K. (Injury)
There will not play in Tokyo: Henrique Trevisan (Calf Injury) Kim Seung-Gyu (Knee Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Tokyo: Shirai K. (Inactive)
We predict that Kashiwa will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.4:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Tokyo?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Tokyo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo were as follows:

11.04.2025 Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1

06.07.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 3:2

11.05.2024 Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol 3:3

01.07.2023 Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol 1:0

26.02.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 1:1

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

21.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga 3:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

08.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

04.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Tokyo

25.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo 0:3 ✺

22.06.2025 Gamba Osaka - Tokyo 2:0 ✺

18.06.2025 Tokyo - Zweigen Kanazawa 3:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:2 ✺

31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League