Result
0:2
28/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (395/491) | 85% (419/493) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (395/491) | 85% (419/493) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (13/44) | 27% (11/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (62/106) | 83% (116/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (15/26) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', 0 - 1, Kakita Y. ⚽, Komi Y. (A),
- 63', Nagatomo Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
- 63', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Endo K. ↑,
- 65', Yamauchi H. 🟨,
- 67', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 67', Komi Y. ↓, Yamanouchi Y. ↑,
- 67', Yamauchi H. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 71', Sato R. 🟨,
- 75', Tokiwa K. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,
- 75', Sato R. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 81', Sato K. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 2, Segawa Y. ⚽,
- 83', Konishi Y. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
- 85', Baba S. ↓, Inukai T. ↑,
- 88', Koizumi Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tokyo
33.8% | Draw
29.1% | Kashiwa Reysol
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↓
(2.94) |
3.23 ↓
(3.61) |
2.53 ↑
(2.27) |
6.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kashiwa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Tokyo (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 3 - 60%). Kashiwa (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 1.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Tawaratsumida K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Tokyo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Tokyo?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
05.07.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Tokyo
1:0
11.04.2025
Tokyo
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
06.07.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Tokyo
3:2
11.05.2024
Tokyo
-
Kashiwa Reysol
3:3
01.07.2023
Tokyo
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:0
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Machida | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Verdy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mito | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 10 | Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 5 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Okayama | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
