Çaykur Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League Çaykur Rizespor - Kasımpaşa
Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 7
  • Referee: Altay C. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.350.33
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
81% (399/492)67% (192/285)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.350.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.810.29
Total shots
138
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1212
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
178
Passes
81% (399/492)67% (192/285)
Long passes
45% (31/69)34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
67% (70/105)56% (61/109)
Crosses
33% (5/15)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.770.35
Throw-ins
2715
Fouls
817
Tackles
79% (11/14)68% (17/25)
Duels won
7257
Clearances
2733
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.290.81
Goals prevented
-1.71-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', Hajradinovic H. , Kol A. ,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Gueye P. , Ben Ouanes M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Sowe A. , Jurecka V. ,
  • 46', Pala M. , Dervisoglu H. ,
  • 57', Rak-Sakyi J. , Bulut E. ,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Papanikolaou G. , Bulut E. (A),
  • 66', Fall M. , Diabate F. ,
  • 66', Gueye P. 🟨,
  • 72', Sahin T. 🟨,
  • 76', Augusto L. , Olawoyin I. ,
  • 85', Olawoyin I. , Zeqiri A. ,
  • 87', Ustundag C. , Kanatsizkus K. ,
  • 87', Kol A. , Mujde A. ,
  • 89', Mujde A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Ben Ouanes M. , Mujde A. (A),

Chances of winning


Çaykur Rizespor
41.6%
Draw
32.7%
Kasımpaşa
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 24.3% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 23.4% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Çaykur Rizespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Çaykur Rizespor's form might have worsened.
  • Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Çaykur Rizespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • The ML Model estimate for Kasımpaşa aligns with the current prediction.
  • Çaykur Rizespor - Kasımpaşa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (1.86)
    3.05
    (3.9)
    4.21
    (3.83)
    -5.4%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Çaykur Rizespor - Kasımpaşa?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rizespor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rizespor: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rizespor won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Rizespor might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Barasi Y. (Inactive) Cafu (Red Card) Cetinkaya E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rizespor: Alikulov K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Arous A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rizespor won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rizespor won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Çaykur Rizespor - Kasımpaşa were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor 3:2
    31.08.2024 Çaykur Rizespor - Kasımpaşa 0:1
    18.05.2024 Çaykur Rizespor - Kasımpaşa 0:0
    25.12.2023 Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor 2:2
    Latest results of Çaykur Rizespor
    Latest results of Kasımpaşa
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray770019:21721
    2Trabzonspor852113:6717
    3Fenerbahce743012:5715
    4Goztepe734010:2813
    5Besiktas640211:8312
    6Samsunspor733110:8212
    7Gaziantep732210:12-211
    8Konyaspor631212:8410
    9Antalyaspor83149:13-410
    10Alanyaspor72328:719
    11Kasimpasa72237:8-18
    12Rizespor72239:11-28
    13Basaksehir61326:606
    14Eyupspor71244:10-65
    15Kayserispor80535:17-125
    16Genclerbirligi71155:10-54
    17Karagumruk71067:16-93
    18Kocaelispor70254:12-82

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig