Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Eyüp Stadium (Istanbul).

Super Lig - Round 9
Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.17	0.79
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
10	3
Big Chances
8	2
Corner Kicks
8	10
Passes
84% (434/518)	82% (313/381)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.17	0.79
xG on target (xGOT)
3.72	0.74
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
10	3
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
14	7
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
8	2
Corner Kicks
8	10
Touches in opposition box
29	26
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
9	6
Passes
84% (434/518)	82% (313/381)
Long passes
49% (33/67)	51% (23/45)
Passes in final third
65% (68/105)	68% (77/113)
Crosses
40% (6/15)	30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.64	0.78
Throw-ins
20	26
Fouls
6	9
Tackles
67% (8/12)	81% (13/16)
Duels won
44	33
Clearances
26	25
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	7
xGOT faced
0.74	3.72
Goals prevented
0.74	1.72

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Demirbay K. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Thiam M. ⚽, Legowski M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Ustundag C. 🟨,
62', Fall M. ↓, Cafu ↑,
68', Akbunar H. ↓, Ampem P. O. ↑,
75', Kayan Y. ↓, Stepanenko T. ↑,
85', Frimpong G. ↓, Tasdemir E. ↑,
85', Ustundag C. ↓, Barasi Y. ↑,
85', Demirbay K. ↓, Akbaba E. ↑,
86', Thiam M. ↓, Bozok U. ↑,
86', Gurler S. ↓, Seslar S. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Bozok U. ⚽, Seslar S. (A),

Chances of winning

Eyüpspor
37.8%

Draw
29.5%

Kasımpaşa
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

27.9%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

29.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eyüpspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eyüpspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.23)	3.22 ↓ (3.38)	2.9 ↓ (3.16)	5% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Eyüpspor will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eyüpspor: 13.8% – 69.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Eyüpspor (votes: 2 - 50%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Kasımpaşa (2.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Eyüpspor (1.39) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Kasımpaşa (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Eyüpspor (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 11).
Recent form of Eyüpspor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Kasımpaşa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Eyüpspor: Bayirkan C. (Inactive) Saiz S. (Inactive)
There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Eyüpspor: Dragus D. (Injury) Taskin I. (Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eyüpspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Eyüpspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Eyüpspor won against Kasımpaşa?

Eyüpspor has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Eyüpspor?

Kasımpaşa has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa were as follows:

10.05.2025 Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa 0:3

13.12.2024 Kasımpaşa - Eyüpspor 2:0

Latest results of Eyüpspor

04.10.2025 Kocaelispor - Eyüpspor 1:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Eyüpspor - Göztepe 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Gençlerbirliği - Eyüpspor 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Eyüpspor - Galatasaray 0:2 ✺

31.08.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Eyüpspor 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Kasımpaşa

05.10.2025 Kasımpaşa - Konyaspor 1:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Çaykur Rizespor - Kasımpaşa 1:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe 1:1 ✺

17.09.2025 Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa 0:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kasımpaşa 0:1 ✺

Turkish Super League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	24	18	4	2	58:18	40	58
2	Fenerbahce	24	15	9	0	54:23	31	54
3	Trabzonspor	24	15	6	3	48:28	20	51
4	Besiktas	24	13	7	4	45:29	16	46
5	Goztepe	24	11	9	4	27:16	11	42
6	Basaksehir	24	11	6	7	42:26	16	39
7	Samsunspor	24	7	11	6	25:27	-2	32
8	Kocaelispor	24	8	6	10	21:25	-4	30
9	Gaziantep	24	7	8	9	30:40	-10	29
10	Rizespor	24	6	9	9	31:35	-4	27
11	Alanyaspor	24	5	11	8	26:30	-4	26
12	Genclerbirligi	24	6	6	12	28:34	-6	24
13	Antalyaspor	24	6	6	12	24:38	-14	24
14	Konyaspor	24	5	8	11	27:37	-10	23
15	Eyupspor	24	5	7	12	19:35	-16	22
16	Kasimpasa	24	4	8	12	20:35	-15	20
17	Kayserispor	24	3	11	10	18:43	-25	20
18	Karagumruk	24	3	4	17	21:45	-24	13

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ 1. Lig