Kasımpaşa vs Hatayspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4
27/01/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 21
  • Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.841.59
Ball Possession
69%31%
Goal Attempts
3110
Shots on Goal
108
Shots off Goal
131
Blocked Shots
81
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
115
Shots inside the Box
197
Shots outside the Box
123
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
12
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Free Kicks
1011
Offsides
23
Fouls
1110
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
1213
Touches in the Opposition Box
4713
Passes
88% (465/530)69% (166/241)
Passes in the final third
83% (192/231)50% (28/56)
Crosses
28% (11/40)42% (5/12)
Tackles
80% (8/10)64% (7/11)
Clearances Total
1645
Interceptions
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 8', Calvo F. 🟥,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Boutobba B. , Aboubakar V. (A),
  • 20', 0 - 2, Sertel C. , Saglam G. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 2, Hajradinovic H. , Claudio Winck (A),
  • 32', Saglam G. 🟨,
  • 36', Kardesler E. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 2, Kilama G. (Own goal),
  • 45+6', Opoku N. 🟨,
  • 45+11', 2 - 3, Aboubakar V. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 54', 3 - 3, Kara A. ,
  • 55', Rivas R. 🟨,
  • 58', 3 - 4, Aboubakar V. , Saglam G. (A),
  • 61', Ozcan Y. , Keles C. ,
  • 69', 4 - 4, Fall M. , Claudio Winck (A),
  • 70', Saglam G. , Rui Pedro ,
  • 70', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
  • 76', 5 - 4, Claudio Winck ,
  • 77', Rivas R. , Yilmaz R. B. ,
  • 77', Aboubakar V. , Strandberg C. ,
  • 77', Fernandes J. , Bamgboye F. ,
  • 78', Barak A. , Cafu ,
  • 78', Claudio Winck , Espinoza J. ,
  • 88', Kara A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kasımpaşa
53.6%
Draw
24%
Hatayspor
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 23.6% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 22.5% 22%

Kasımpaşa - Hatayspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.76
(1.7)
3.91
(4)
4.25
(4.5)
5.8%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Hatayspor?
  • Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 38 - 77.6%). Hatayspor will win (votes: 6 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kasımpaşa: 65.9%89.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 2.
    • Kasımpaşa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Hatayspor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Kasımpaşa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Kasımpaşa is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Hatayspor: Diack L. (Yellow Cards) Okoronkwo J. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Omeruo K. (Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Hatayspor were as follows:
    19.08.2024 Hatayspor - Kasımpaşa 1:1
    20.01.2024 Kasımpaşa - Hatayspor 3:0
    19.08.2023 Hatayspor - Kasımpaşa 0:0
    05.02.2023 Hatayspor - Kasımpaşa 1:0
    28.08.2022 Kasımpaşa - Hatayspor 1:0
    Latest results of Kasımpaşa
    Latest results of Hatayspor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray17133139:122742
    2Fenerbahce17116039:142539
    3Trabzonspor17105233:201335
    4Goztepe1795321:91232
    5Besiktas1785430:22829
    6Samsunspor1767422:20225
    7Basaksehir1765627:18923
    8Kocaelispor1765615:17-223
    9Gaziantep1765624:30-623
    10Alanyaspor1749416:15121
    11Genclerbirligi1753921:24-318
    12Rizespor1746720:24-418
    13Konyaspor1745821:29-817
    14Kasimpasa1736814:24-1015
    15Antalyaspor17431016:31-1515
    16Kayserispor1729616:33-1715
    17Eyupspor17341010:24-1413
    18Karagumruk17231214:32-189

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig