Kayserispor vs Kasımpaşa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kadir Has Stadium (Kayseri).

Super Lig - Round 11
Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	0.48
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
78% (242/312)	83% (333/400)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	0.48
xG on target (xGOT)
2.24	1.17
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
15	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	0
Free Kicks
15	12
Passes
78% (242/312)	83% (333/400)
Long passes
49% (29/59)	44% (18/41)
Passes in final third
64% (58/90)	69% (83/121)
Crosses
37% (7/19)	19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.89	0.64
Throw-ins
22	17
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
25% (3/12)	70% (7/10)
Duels won
45	39
Clearances
30	30
Interceptions
5	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
1.17	2.24
Goals prevented
-0.83	-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Soyalp F. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Winck C. ⚽, Szalai At. (A),
27', Baldursson A. F. 🟨,
32', 2 - 1, Denswil S. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Tokoz D. ↓, Ait Bennasser Y. ↑,
62', Opoku A. ↓, Kapacak B. ↑,
62', Barasi Y. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
62', Fall M. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Kanatsizkus K. ⚽,
77', Soyalp F. 🟨,
77', Soyalp F. ↓, Ozbek E. ↑,
77', Mane C. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
80', Hosseini M. 🟨,
81', 3 - 2, Tuci I. ⚽, Civelek R. (A),
84', Civelek R. ↓, Burak A. ↑,
87', Ustundag C. ↓, Ben Ouanes M. ↑,
88', Baldursson A. F. ↓, Kol A. ↑,
90', Ozbek E. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Kayserispor
43.7%

Draw
26.9%

Kasımpaşa
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.9%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

27.2%

34.5%

Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.47)	3.51 (3.51)	3.19 ↑ (2.71)	4.9% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Kasımpaşa (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kayserispor will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kayserispor will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Kayserispor (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Kayserispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y. (Inactive) Benes L. (Red Card) Cardoso M. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Cetinkaya E. (Inactive) Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Kayserispor: Ait Bennasser Y. (Injury) Hosseini M. (Health problems) Jung G. (Injury) Karimi A. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Kayserispor won against Kasımpaşa?

Kayserispor has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Kayserispor?

Kasımpaşa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa were as follows:

13.04.2025 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 1:0

08.11.2024 Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor 1:2

03.04.2024 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 0:2

11.11.2023 Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor 3:4

19.04.2023 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 0:0

Latest results of Kayserispor

28.10.2025 Kayserispor - Niğde Belediyespor 1:0 ✺

24.10.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor 2:2 ✺

19.10.2025 Kayserispor - Samsunspor 1:3 ✺

03.10.2025 Trabzonspor - Kayserispor 4:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Kasımpaşa

29.10.2025 Kahta 02 Spor - Kasımpaşa 3:1 ✺

26.10.2025 Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş 1:1 ✺

20.10.2025 Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa 2:0 ✺

05.10.2025 Kasımpaşa - Konyaspor 1:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Çaykur Rizespor - Kasımpaşa 1:2 ✺

Turkish Super League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	18	13	4	1	40:13	27	43
2	Fenerbahce	18	12	6	0	42:16	26	42
3	Trabzonspor	18	11	5	2	35:21	14	38
4	Goztepe	18	10	5	3	24:10	14	35
5	Besiktas	18	9	5	4	31:22	9	32
6	Basaksehir	18	7	5	6	29:19	10	26
7	Samsunspor	18	6	8	4	23:21	2	26
8	Gaziantep	18	6	6	6	25:31	-6	24
9	Kocaelispor	18	6	5	7	16:19	-3	23
10	Alanyaspor	18	4	9	5	18:18	0	21
11	Genclerbirligi	18	5	4	9	22:25	-3	19
12	Rizespor	18	4	6	8	21:27	-6	18
13	Konyaspor	18	4	6	8	22:30	-8	18
14	Kasimpasa	18	3	7	8	14:24	-10	16
15	Antalyaspor	18	4	4	10	16:31	-15	16
16	Kayserispor	18	2	9	7	16:34	-18	15
17	Eyupspor	18	3	5	10	11:25	-14	14
18	Karagumruk	18	2	3	13	15:34	-19	9

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ 1. Lig