Kayserispor vs Kasımpaşa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
02/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 11
  • Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.48
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
78% (242/312)83% (333/400)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.48
xG on target (xGOT)
2.241.17
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
78% (242/312)83% (333/400)
Long passes
49% (29/59)44% (18/41)
Passes in final third
64% (58/90)69% (83/121)
Crosses
37% (7/19)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.64
Throw-ins
2217
Fouls
1215
Tackles
25% (3/12)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4539
Clearances
3030
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.172.24
Goals prevented
-0.83-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Soyalp F. , Mendes J. (A),
  • 19', 1 - 1, Winck C. , Szalai At. (A),
  • 27', Baldursson A. F. 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 1, Denswil S. , Mendes J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', Tokoz D. , Ait Bennasser Y. ,
  • 62', Opoku A. , Kapacak B. ,
  • 62', Barasi Y. , Espinoza J. ,
  • 62', Fall M. , Kanatsizkus K. ,
  • 67', 2 - 2, Kanatsizkus K. ,
  • 77', Soyalp F. 🟨,
  • 77', Soyalp F. , Ozbek E. ,
  • 77', Mane C. , Tuci I. ,
  • 80', Hosseini M. 🟨,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Tuci I. , Civelek R. (A),
  • 84', Civelek R. , Burak A. ,
  • 87', Ustundag C. , Ben Ouanes M. ,
  • 88', Baldursson A. F. , Kol A. ,
  • 90', Ozbek E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kayserispor
43.7%
Draw
26.9%
Kasımpaşa
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 26.9% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 27.2% 34.5%

Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.22
(2.47)
3.51
(3.51)
3.19
(2.71)
4.9%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa?
  • Users Predictions: Kayserispor will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.32%95.68%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kayserispor will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Kayserispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y. (Inactive) Benes L. (Red Card) Cardoso M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Cetinkaya E. (Inactive) Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kayserispor: Ait Bennasser Y. (Injury) Hosseini M. (Health problems) Jung G. (Injury) Karimi A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 1:0
    08.11.2024 Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor 1:2
    03.04.2024 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 0:2
    11.11.2023 Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor 3:4
    19.04.2023 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 0:0
    Latest results of Kayserispor
    Latest results of Kasımpaşa
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray17133139:122742
    2Fenerbahce17116039:142539
    3Trabzonspor17105233:201335
    4Goztepe1795321:91232
    5Besiktas1785430:22829
    6Samsunspor1767422:20225
    7Basaksehir1765627:18923
    8Kocaelispor1765615:17-223
    9Gaziantep1765624:30-623
    10Alanyaspor1749416:15121
    11Genclerbirligi1753921:24-318
    12Rizespor1746720:24-418
    13Konyaspor1745821:29-817
    14Kasimpasa1736814:24-1015
    15Antalyaspor17431016:31-1515
    16Kayserispor1729616:33-1715
    17Eyupspor17341010:24-1413
    18Karagumruk17231214:32-189

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig