Result
3:2
02/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 11
- Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (242/312) | 83% (333/400) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (242/312) | 83% (333/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (29/59) | 44% (18/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (58/90) | 69% (83/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Soyalp F. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Winck C. ⚽, Szalai At. (A),
- 27', Baldursson A. F. 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 1, Denswil S. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', Tokoz D. ↓, Ait Bennasser Y. ↑,
- 62', Opoku A. ↓, Kapacak B. ↑,
- 62', Barasi Y. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
- 62', Fall M. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 2, Kanatsizkus K. ⚽,
- 77', Soyalp F. 🟨,
- 77', Soyalp F. ↓, Ozbek E. ↑,
- 77', Mane C. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
- 80', Hosseini M. 🟨,
- 81', 3 - 2, Tuci I. ⚽, Civelek R. (A),
- 84', Civelek R. ↓, Burak A. ↑,
- 87', Ustundag C. ↓, Ben Ouanes M. ↑,
- 88', Baldursson A. F. ↓, Kol A. ↑,
- 90', Ozbek E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kayserispor
43.7% | Draw
26.9% | Kasımpaşa
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kayserispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kayserispor's performance.Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kasımpaşa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kayserispor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kasımpaşa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.47) |
3.51
(3.51) |
3.19 ↑
(2.71) |
4.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DNB - Kasımpaşa (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kayserispor will win
(20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kayserispor will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Kayserispor (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Kayserispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y.
(Inactive)
Benes L.
(Red Card)
Cardoso M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Cetinkaya E.
(Inactive)
Hajradinovic H.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kayserispor: Ait Bennasser Y.
(Injury)
Hosseini M.
(Health problems)
Jung G.
(Injury)
Karimi A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Kayserispor won against Kasımpaşa?
Kayserispor has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Kayserispor?
Kasımpaşa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa were as follows:
13.04.2025
Kayserispor
-
Kasımpaşa
1:0
08.11.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
Kayserispor
1:2
03.04.2024
Kayserispor
-
Kasımpaşa
0:2
11.11.2023
Kasımpaşa
-
Kayserispor
3:4
19.04.2023
Kayserispor
-
Kasımpaşa
0:0
Latest results of Kayserispor
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 58:18 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 24 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 54:23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21:45 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
