Kayserispor vs Kasımpaşa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
02/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 11
  • Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.48
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
78% (242/312)83% (333/400)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.48
xG on target (xGOT)
2.241.17
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
78% (242/312)83% (333/400)
Long passes
49% (29/59)44% (18/41)
Passes in final third
64% (58/90)69% (83/121)
Crosses
37% (7/19)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.64
Throw-ins
2217
Fouls
1215
Tackles
25% (3/12)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4539
Clearances
3030
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.172.24
Goals prevented
-0.83-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Soyalp F. , Mendes J. (A),
  • 19', 1 - 1, Winck C. , Szalai At. (A),
  • 27', Baldursson A. F. 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 1, Denswil S. , Mendes J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', Tokoz D. , Ait Bennasser Y. ,
  • 62', Opoku A. , Kapacak B. ,
  • 62', Barasi Y. , Espinoza J. ,
  • 62', Fall M. , Kanatsizkus K. ,
  • 67', 2 - 2, Kanatsizkus K. ,
  • 77', Soyalp F. 🟨,
  • 77', Soyalp F. , Ozbek E. ,
  • 77', Mane C. , Tuci I. ,
  • 80', Hosseini M. 🟨,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Tuci I. , Civelek R. (A),
  • 84', Civelek R. , Burak A. ,
  • 87', Ustundag C. , Ben Ouanes M. ,
  • 88', Baldursson A. F. , Kol A. ,
  • 90', Ozbek E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kayserispor
43.7%
Draw
26.9%
Kasımpaşa
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 26.9% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 27.2% 34.5%

Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.22
(2.47)
3.51
(3.51)
3.19
(2.71)
4.9%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DNB - Kasımpaşa (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Kayserispor will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.32%95.68%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kayserispor will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Kayserispor (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Kayserispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y. (Inactive) Benes L. (Red Card) Cardoso M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Cetinkaya E. (Inactive) Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kayserispor: Ait Bennasser Y. (Injury) Hosseini M. (Health problems) Jung G. (Injury) Karimi A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 1:0
    08.11.2024 Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor 1:2
    03.04.2024 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 0:2
    11.11.2023 Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor 3:4
    19.04.2023 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 0:0
    Latest results of Kayserispor
    Latest results of Kasımpaşa
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray21164150:143652
    2Fenerbahce21147048:183049
    3Trabzonspor21136241:231845
    4Goztepe21117327:121540
    5Besiktas21107437:271037
    6Basaksehir2196636:221433
    7Samsunspor2179524:24030
    8Gaziantep2177729:35-628
    9Kocaelispor2176818:22-427
    10Alanyaspor21411622:24-223
    11Genclerbirligi21641126:31-522
    12Konyaspor2148924:33-920
    13Rizespor2148924:33-920
    14Antalyaspor21551119:34-1520
    15Eyupspor21461117:30-1318
    16Kasimpasa21371116:29-1316
    17Kayserispor21291017:43-2615
    18Karagumruk21331518:39-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig