Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 3

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.330.32
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
31
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
110
Passes
74% (229/310)83% (417/501)
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.330.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.590.11
Total shots
85
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
23
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
12
Shots outside the box
72
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
813
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
35
Free kicks
1418
Passes
74% (229/310)83% (417/501)
Long passes
38% (28/73)53% (36/68)
Passes in final third
54% (49/90)71% (86/121)
Crosses
14% (1/7)10% (3/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.49
Throw ins
1523
Fouls
1814
Tackles
87% (13/15)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4445
Clearances
318
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.110.59
Goals prevented
0.11-1.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Benedyczak A. , Diabate F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Katongo J. , Mendes J. ,
  • 60', Chalov F. , Soyalp F. ,
  • 60', Benes L. , Brenet J. ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Gianniotis A. , Rodrigo Becao (A),
  • 70', Makarov D. , Mane C. ,
  • 70', Civelek R. 🟨,
  • 73', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
  • 73', Ait Bennasser Y. 🟨,
  • 77', Civelek R. , Tuci I. ,
  • 80', Corekci K. , Opoku N. ,
  • 85', Benedyczak A. , Tosun C. ,
  • 90', Cafu 🟥,
  • 90+1', Diabate F. , Demirbay K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kasımpaşa
43.3%
Draw
28.6%
Kayserispor
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 27.2% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 27.4% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.11)
    3.29
    (3.44)
    3.38
    (3.3)
    5.4%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Kayserispor will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2%83%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Kasımpaşa (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Kasımpaşa could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Frimpong G. (Hamstring Injury) Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury) Tasdemir E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Kayserispor: Burak A. (Suspended) Celtik Y. (Knee Injury) Cihan K. (Inactive) Hosseini M. (Health problems)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 3:2
    13.04.2025 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 1:0
    08.11.2024 Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor 1:2
    03.04.2024 Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa 0:2
    11.11.2023 Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor 3:4
    Latest results of Kasımpaşa
    19.03.2026 Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa 2:1
    15.03.2026 Kasımpaşa - Eyüpspor 1:0
    08.03.2026 Konyaspor - Kasımpaşa 1:1
    23.02.2026 Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa 1:1
    Latest results of Kayserispor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray29215367:224568
    2Fenerbahce29199166:283866
    3Trabzonspor29197356:312564
    4Besiktas29167653:341955
    5Basaksehir29138847:301747
    6Goztepe291211636:261047
    7Samsunspor28812832:37-536
    8Kocaelispor29981224:33-935
    9Konyaspor298101136:41-534
    10Gaziantep288101037:47-1034
    11Alanyaspor29615835:34133
    12Rizespor28891137:39-233
    13Kasimpasa296101328:41-1328
    14Antalyaspor29771530:47-1728
    15Genclerbirligi29671628:42-1425
    16Kayserispor294111421:54-3323
    17Eyupspor28571619:41-2222
    18Karagumruk29551926:51-2520

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig