Result
2:4
24/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
Chances of winning
Kastrioti
9.4% | Draw
20.8% | Pogradeci
69.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kastrioti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kastrioti's form might have worsened.Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogradeci's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kastrioti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogradeci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kastrioti - Pogradeci Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.52 ↑
(4.85) |
4.3 ↑
(3.55) |
1.29 ↓
(1.62) |
11.5%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kastrioti - Pogradeci?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Kastrioti will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Pogradeci will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kastrioti (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Pogradeci (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Kastrioti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pogradeci is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Kastrioti won against Pogradeci?
Kastrioti has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogradeci won against Kastrioti?
Pogradeci has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kastrioti - Pogradeci were as follows:
25.10.2025
Pogradeci
-
Kastrioti
4:0
23.02.2025
Kastrioti
-
Pogradeci
0:0
09.11.2024
Kastrioti
-
Pogradeci
2:0
Latest results of Kastrioti
Latest results of Pogradeci
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 50:23 | 27 | 67 |
| 2 | Laci | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 64 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 52:23 | 29 | 61 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 38 |
| 5 | Kastrioti | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 6 | Burreli | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 33 |
| 7 | Korabi Peshkopi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Besa Kavaje | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Apolonia Fier | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:34 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Kukesi | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 24:41 | -17 | 24 |
| 11 | AF Luftetari | 28 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 26:38 | -12 | 22 |
| 12 | Lushnja | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23:38 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation
