Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball, ZhiBo8 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 1.27 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
85% (417/490) | 80% (257/322) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 1.27 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.23 | 1.17 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
85% (417/490) | 80% (257/322) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (29/55) | 42% (20/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (155/202) | 64% (49/77) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (9/24) | 30% (3/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.02 | 1.13 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
44% (7/16) | 64% (9/14) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.17 | 2.23 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.03 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Leo Ceara ⚽, Matsumura Y. (A),
- 42', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Ito T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Maruyama Y. ↓, Jesiel ↑,
- 46', Ito T. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 58', 2 - 1, Marcinho ⚽, Ienaga A. (A),
- 68', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
- 68', Matsumura Y. ↓, Nono K. ↑,
- 68', Chinen K. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
- 76', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
- 78', Funabashi Y. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
- 78', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
- 80', Ienaga A. 🟨,
- 82', Jesiel 🟨,
- 84', Miura S. ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
- 90+3', Nono K. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ienaga A. ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kawasaki Frontale 43.2% | Draw 26.4% | Kashima Antlers 30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.18 ↓ (2.2) |
3.55 ↓ (3.64) |
3.09 ↓ (3.18) |
6.5% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Kawasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Kawasaki could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Erison
(Knee Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Inactive)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- There are questionable in Kawasaki: Marcinho
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Kashima Antlers?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Kashima Antlers has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
11.05.2025
Kashima Antlers
-
Kawasaki Frontale
2:1
01.11.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Kashima Antlers
1:3
17.03.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Kawasaki Frontale
2:1
24.11.2023
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Kashima Antlers
3:0
25.02.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Kawasaki Frontale
1:2
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League