Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki).

J1 League - Round 23
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball, ZhiBo8
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	1.27
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
16	10
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
85% (417/490)	80% (257/322)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	1.27
xG on target (xGOT)
2.23	1.17
Total shots
16	10
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
10	8
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
24	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
9	8
Passes
85% (417/490)	80% (257/322)
Long passes
53% (29/55)	42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
77% (155/202)	64% (49/77)
Crosses
38% (9/24)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.02	1.13
Throw-ins
23	21
Fouls
8	9
Tackles
44% (7/16)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
40	43
Clearances
14	33
Interceptions
11	5
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.17	2.23
Goals prevented
0.03	0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Leo Ceara ⚽, Matsumura Y. (A),
42', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Ito T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Maruyama Y. ↓, Jesiel ↑,
46', Ito T. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Marcinho ⚽, Ienaga A. (A),
68', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
68', Matsumura Y. ↓, Nono K. ↑,
68', Chinen K. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
76', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
78', Funabashi Y. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
78', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
80', Ienaga A. 🟨,
82', Jesiel 🟨,
84', Miura S. ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
90+3', Nono K. 🟨,
90+3', Ienaga A. ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kawasaki Frontale
43.2%

Draw
26.4%

Kashima Antlers
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.3%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26.5%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)	3.55 ↓ (3.64)	3.09 ↓ (3.18)	6.5% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Kawasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Kawasaki could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Kawasaki: Erison (Knee Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Inactive) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
There are questionable in Kawasaki: Marcinho (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Kashima Antlers?

Kawasaki Frontale has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Kawasaki Frontale?

Kashima Antlers has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers were as follows:

11.05.2025 Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1

01.11.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers 1:3

17.03.2024 Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1

24.11.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers 3:0

25.02.2023 Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale 1:2

Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale

29.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale 1:0 ✺

25.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 3:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Vissel Kobe 1:2 ✺

14.06.2025 Yokohama FC - Kawasaki Frontale 0:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Fukushima United 4:3 ✺

Latest results of Kashima Antlers

21.06.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Kashima Antlers - Thespakusatsu Gunma 4:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers 3:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	23	10	7	6	32:24	8	37
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	23	8	7	8	21:23	-2	31
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League