Result
3:2 penalties
01/03/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (545/634) | 76% (277/363) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (545/634) | 76% (277/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 41% (24/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (157/200) | 66% (61/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/25) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', Yamamoto H. 🟨,
- 30', Mase T. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Kato C. ⚽, Watanabe A. (A),
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Kato C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Mase T. ↓, Tada K. ↑,
- 61', Romanic L. ↓, Erison ↑,
- 62', Konno K. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
- 62', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
- 71', Kato C. ↓, Yamashita Y. ↑,
- 75', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
- 77', Yamashita Y. 🟨,
- 79', Yamamoto H. ↓, Matheus Leiria ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Erison (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', Watanabe A. ↓, Danilo Cardoso ↑,
- 90', Semba T. ↓, Yamazaki K. ↑,
- 90', Ozeki Y. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Wakizaka Y. ⚽,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Erison (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Osaki K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Wakizaka Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Tada K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Miyagi T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Omori S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Tachibanada K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Iida T. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Kawasaki Frontale
50% | Draw
24.9% | Mito HollyHock
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kawasaki Frontale's form might have worsened.Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Kawasaki Frontale - Mito HollyHock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.67) |
3.79 ↓
(3.86) |
3.77 ↓
(4.52) |
5.8%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Mito HollyHock?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kawasaki Frontale will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)).
- Kawasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Kawasaki could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
Oshima R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Torikai Y.
(Red Card)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Mito HollyHock?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mito HollyHock won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Mito HollyHock has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Mito HollyHock were as follows:
12.07.2023
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Mito HollyHock
2:1
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Latest results of Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Machida | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Verdy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mito | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 10 | Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 5 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Okayama | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
