Kayserispor vs Samsunspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
19/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 9
  • Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.202.62
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
37
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
84% (343/407)82% (285/348)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.202.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.612.48
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
37
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1933
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
84% (343/407)82% (285/348)
Long passes
53% (29/55)48% (26/54)
Passes in final third
74% (93/126)70% (57/82)
Crosses
19% (6/31)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.381.53
Throw-ins
2716
Fouls
1311
Tackles
67% (8/12)81% (13/16)
Duels won
3356
Clearances
1348
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.480.61
Goals prevented
-0.52-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Carole L. 🟨,
  • 25', Musaba A. 🟨,
  • 30', Coulibaly T. 🟨,
  • 39', Tuci I. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Holse C. , Tomasson L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Civelek R. , Kapacak B. ,
  • 48', Ntcham O. , Yuksel C. ,
  • 50', Tomasson L. 🟨,
  • 60', Mane C. , Opoku A. ,
  • 60', Tuci I. , Onugkha G. ,
  • 62', Marius , Ndiaye C. ,
  • 62', Coulibaly T. , Kilinc E. ,
  • 64', 0 - 2, Holse C. ,
  • 65', Ait Bennasser Y. , Mendes J. ,
  • 68', Yavru Z. , Mendes J. ,
  • 68', Holse C. , Sousa A. ,
  • 72', 0 - 3, Van Drongelen R. ,
  • 75', Soyalp F. , Tokoz D. ,
  • 83', 1 - 3, Onugkha G. , Kapacak B. (A),

Chances of winning


Kayserispor
25.6%
Draw
27.7%
Samsunspor
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 27.7% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 27.5% 40.5%

Kayserispor - Samsunspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.1
(2.93)
3.63
(3.39)
2.11
(2.34)
-0.7%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kayserispor - Samsunspor?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 1.
    • Kayserispor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Samsunspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kayserispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y. (Inactive) Ait Bennasser Y. (Inactive) Hosseini M. (Health problems) Karimi A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydogdu S. (Injury) Ceesay E. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Kilinc E. (Broken Hand) Sousa A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kayserispor: Jung G. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kayserispor - Samsunspor were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Samsunspor - Kayserispor 2:1
    11.01.2025 Kayserispor - Samsunspor 0:1
    25.01.2024 Samsunspor - Kayserispor 2:0
    27.08.2023 Kayserispor - Samsunspor 2:1
    Latest results of Kayserispor
    03.10.2025 Trabzonspor - Kayserispor 4:0
    24.09.2025 Kayserispor - Beşiktaş 0:4
    20.09.2025 Antalyaspor - Kayserispor 1:1
    14.09.2025 Kayserispor - Göztepe 1:1
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray15113132:112136
    2Trabzonspor15104127:131434
    3Fenerbahce1596032:141833
    4Goztepe1575318:9926
    5Samsunspor1567222:16625
    6Besiktas1473424:17724
    7Gaziantep1464421:22-122
    8Kocaelispor1554612:15-319
    9Basaksehir1545620:17317
    10Alanyaspor1437414:15-116
    11Konyaspor1544720:24-416
    12Rizespor1536617:23-615
    13Genclerbirligi1542917:21-414
    14Kasimpasa1535714:21-714
    15Antalyaspor1442814:25-1114
    16Eyupspor1534810:18-813
    17Kayserispor1527615:32-1713
    18Karagumruk15221113:29-168

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig