Kayserispor vs Samsunspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
19/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 9
  • Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.202.62
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
37
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
84% (343/407)82% (285/348)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.202.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.612.48
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
37
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1933
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
84% (343/407)82% (285/348)
Long passes
53% (29/55)48% (26/54)
Passes in final third
74% (93/126)70% (57/82)
Crosses
19% (6/31)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.381.53
Throw-ins
2716
Fouls
1311
Tackles
67% (8/12)81% (13/16)
Duels won
3356
Clearances
1348
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.480.61
Goals prevented
-0.52-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Carole L. 🟨,
  • 25', Musaba A. 🟨,
  • 30', Coulibaly T. 🟨,
  • 39', Tuci I. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Holse C. , Tomasson L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Civelek R. , Kapacak B. ,
  • 48', Ntcham O. , Yuksel C. ,
  • 50', Tomasson L. 🟨,
  • 60', Mane C. , Opoku A. ,
  • 60', Tuci I. , Onugkha G. ,
  • 62', Marius , Ndiaye C. ,
  • 62', Coulibaly T. , Kilinc E. ,
  • 64', 0 - 2, Holse C. ,
  • 65', Ait Bennasser Y. , Mendes J. ,
  • 68', Yavru Z. , Mendes J. ,
  • 68', Holse C. , Sousa A. ,
  • 72', 0 - 3, Van Drongelen R. ,
  • 75', Soyalp F. , Tokoz D. ,
  • 83', 1 - 3, Onugkha G. , Kapacak B. (A),

Chances of winning


Kayserispor
25.6%
Draw
27.7%
Samsunspor
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 27.7% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 27.5% 40.5%

Kayserispor - Samsunspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.1
(2.93)
3.63
(3.39)
2.11
(2.34)
-0.7%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kayserispor - Samsunspor?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Samsunspor (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 1.
    • Kayserispor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Samsunspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kayserispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y. (Inactive) Ait Bennasser Y. (Inactive) Hosseini M. (Health problems) Karimi A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydogdu S. (Injury) Ceesay E. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Kilinc E. (Broken Hand) Sousa A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kayserispor: Jung G. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kayserispor - Samsunspor were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Samsunspor - Kayserispor 2:1
    11.01.2025 Kayserispor - Samsunspor 0:1
    25.01.2024 Samsunspor - Kayserispor 2:0
    27.08.2023 Kayserispor - Samsunspor 2:1
    Latest results of Kayserispor
    03.10.2025 Trabzonspor - Kayserispor 4:0
    24.09.2025 Kayserispor - Beşiktaş 0:4
    20.09.2025 Antalyaspor - Kayserispor 1:1
    14.09.2025 Kayserispor - Göztepe 1:1
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray18134140:132743
    2Fenerbahce18126042:162642
    3Trabzonspor18115235:211438
    4Goztepe18105324:101435
    5Besiktas1895431:22932
    6Basaksehir1875629:191026
    7Samsunspor1868423:21226
    8Gaziantep1866625:31-624
    9Kocaelispor1865716:19-323
    10Alanyaspor1849518:18021
    11Genclerbirligi1854922:25-319
    12Rizespor1846821:27-618
    13Konyaspor1846822:30-818
    14Kasimpasa1837814:24-1016
    15Antalyaspor18441016:31-1516
    16Kayserispor1829716:34-1815
    17Eyupspor18351011:25-1414
    18Karagumruk18231315:34-199

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig