Result
2:1
01/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 38
- Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (557/630) | 67% (155/231) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.31 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 54 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (557/630) | 67% (155/231) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (25/38) | 33% (19/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (200/248) | 45% (21/47) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (10/43) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 3.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 1.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Kolovetsios D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', 0 - 1, Nazon D. ⚽, Cardoso M. (A),
- 60', Schindler K. ↓, Muja A. ↑,
- 64', Korkmaz N. ↓, Arslan B. ↑,
- 64', Ackah Y. ↓, Ozbek E. ↑,
- 68', Carole L. ↓, Kocaman A. ↑,
- 68', Kilinc E. 🟨,
- 71', Ntcham O. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
- 76', Yavru Z. 🟨,
- 76', Gezek B. A. 🟨,
- 76', Uzodimma A. ↓, Ozgan B. ↑,
- 76', Cihan K. ↓, Jeanvier J. ↑,
- 85', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cardoso M. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Aydogdu S. ⚽, Kilinc E. (A),
- 90+8', 2 - 1, Muja A. ⚽, Kilinc E. (A),
- 90+9', Muja A. 🟨,
- 90+9', Holse C. 🟨,
- 90+11', Holse C. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Samsunspor
71.8% | Draw
17.9% | Kayserispor
10.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samsunspor's performance.Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kayserispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-18.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samsunspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kayserispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Samsunspor - Kayserispor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.73) |
5.41 ↑
(3.6) |
9.15 ↑
(4) |
3.4%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Kayserispor?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 18 - 60%). Kayserispor will win (votes: 1 - 3.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 42.5% – 77.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 6 - 50%). Tie (votes: 6 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- Samsunspor is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 3.
- Samsunspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kayserispor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Samsunspor is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Dimata L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y.
(Muscle Injury)
Bahoken S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Mane C.
(Yellow Cards)
Sazdagi G.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ozbaskici M.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Kayserispor?
Samsunspor has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kayserispor won against Samsunspor?
Kayserispor has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Kayserispor were as follows:
11.01.2025
Kayserispor
-
Samsunspor
0:1
25.01.2024
Samsunspor
-
Kayserispor
2:0
27.08.2023
Kayserispor
-
Samsunspor
2:1
Latest results of Samsunspor
Latest results of Kayserispor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goztepe | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Galatasaray | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | Antalyaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Kayserispor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Basaksehir | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Kasimpasa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Kocaelispor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Eyupspor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Karagumruk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Gaziantep | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
