Samsunspor vs Kayserispor: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Turkish Super League Samsunspor - Kayserispor
Result
2:1
01/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Lig - Round 38
  • Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
Samsunspor - Kayserispor - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.810.32
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
328
Shots on target
144
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
124
Passes
88% (557/630)67% (155/231)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
2.810.32
xG on target (xGOT)
3.310.93
Total shots
328
Shots on target
144
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
203
Shots outside the Box
125
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
5412
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
58
Passes
88% (557/630)67% (155/231)
Long passes
66% (25/38)33% (19/58)
Passes in final third
81% (200/248)45% (21/47)
Crosses
23% (10/43)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.790.48
Throw-ins
3112
Fouls
85
Tackles
58% (7/12)47% (7/15)
Duels won
3938
Clearances
951
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
312
xGOT faced
0.933.31
Goals prevented
-0.071.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Kolovetsios D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 1, Nazon D. , Cardoso M. (A),
  • 60', Schindler K. , Muja A. ,
  • 64', Korkmaz N. , Arslan B. ,
  • 64', Ackah Y. , Ozbek E. ,
  • 68', Carole L. , Kocaman A. ,
  • 68', Kilinc E. 🟨,
  • 71', Ntcham O. , Aydogdu S. ,
  • 76', Yavru Z. 🟨,
  • 76', Gezek B. A. 🟨,
  • 76', Uzodimma A. , Ozgan B. ,
  • 76', Cihan K. , Jeanvier J. ,
  • 85', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cardoso M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Aydogdu S. , Kilinc E. (A),
  • 90+8', 2 - 1, Muja A. , Kilinc E. (A),
  • 90+9', Muja A. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Holse C. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Holse C. , Cift Y. E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Samsunspor
71.8%
Draw
17.9%
Kayserispor
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 25.1% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 24.6% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samsunspor's performance.
  • Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kayserispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-18.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samsunspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kayserispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Samsunspor - Kayserispor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.73)
    5.41
    (3.6)
    9.15
    (4)
    3.4%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Kayserispor?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 18 - 60%). Kayserispor will win (votes: 1 - 3.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 42.5%77.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 6 - 50%). Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 14).
    • Samsunspor is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 3.
    • Samsunspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kayserispor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Samsunspor is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Dimata L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y. (Muscle Injury) Bahoken S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mane C. (Yellow Cards) Sazdagi G. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ozbaskici M. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Kayserispor were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Kayserispor - Samsunspor 0:1
    25.01.2024 Samsunspor - Kayserispor 2:0
    27.08.2023 Kayserispor - Samsunspor 2:1
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    25.05.2025 Trabzonspor - Samsunspor 2:2
    18.05.2025 Samsunspor - Sivasspor 1:0
    04.05.2025 Samsunspor - Eyüpspor 3:0
    26.04.2025 Bodrumspor - Samsunspor 1:2
    21.04.2025 Alanyaspor - Samsunspor 1:0
    Latest results of Kayserispor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kayserispor00000:000
    2Trabzonspor00000:000
    3Antalyaspor00000:000
    4Gaziantep00000:000
    5Samsunspor00000:000
    6Alanyaspor00000:000
    7Eyupspor00000:000
    8Karagumruk00000:000
    9Galatasaray00000:000
    10Fenerbahce00000:000
    11Besiktas00000:000
    12Konyaspor00000:000
    13Genclerbirligi00000:000
    14Rizespor00000:000
    15Kasimpasa00000:000
    16Kocaelispor00000:000
    17Basaksehir00000:000
    18Goztepe00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

    Which TV channels are streaming of Samsunspor - Kayserispor?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaTOD
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
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