Result
1:3
19/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 9
- Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (343/407) | 82% (285/348) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (343/407) | 82% (285/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (29/55) | 48% (26/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (93/126) | 70% (57/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Carole L. 🟨,
- 25', Musaba A. 🟨,
- 30', Coulibaly T. 🟨,
- 39', Tuci I. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Holse C. ⚽, Tomasson L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Civelek R. ↓, Kapacak B. ↑,
- 48', Ntcham O. ↓, Yuksel C. ↑,
- 50', Tomasson L. 🟨,
- 60', Mane C. ↓, Opoku A. ↑,
- 60', Tuci I. ↓, Onugkha G. ↑,
- 62', Marius ↓, Ndiaye C. ↑,
- 62', Coulibaly T. ↓, Kilinc E. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 2, Holse C. ⚽,
- 65', Ait Bennasser Y. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 68', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 68', Holse C. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 3, Van Drongelen R. ⚽,
- 75', Soyalp F. ↓, Tokoz D. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 3, Onugkha G. ⚽, Kapacak B. (A),
Chances of winning
Kayserispor
25.6% | Draw
27.7% | Samsunspor
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kayserispor's form might have worsened.Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samsunspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kayserispor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samsunspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kayserispor - Samsunspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.1 ↑
(2.93) |
3.63 ↑
(3.39) |
2.11 ↓
(2.34) |
-0.7%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kayserispor - Samsunspor?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Samsunspor (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 1.
- Kayserispor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Samsunspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kayserispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y.
(Inactive)
Ait Bennasser Y.
(Inactive)
Hosseini M.
(Health problems)
Karimi A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydogdu S.
(Injury)
Ceesay E.
(Injury)
Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Kilinc E.
(Broken Hand)
Sousa A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kayserispor: Jung G.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kayserispor won against Samsunspor?
Kayserispor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Kayserispor?
Samsunspor has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kayserispor - Samsunspor were as follows:
01.06.2025
Samsunspor
-
Kayserispor
2:1
11.01.2025
Kayserispor
-
Samsunspor
0:1
25.01.2024
Samsunspor
-
Kayserispor
2:0
27.08.2023
Kayserispor
-
Samsunspor
2:1
Latest results of Kayserispor
Latest results of Samsunspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 58:18 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 24 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 54:23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21:45 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
