Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 36
- Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.68 | 0.21 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
70% (203/290) | 77% (318/412) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.68 | 0.21 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.19 | 0.23 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
36 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
70% (203/290) | 77% (318/412) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (20/56) | 50% (31/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
54% (61/113) | 60% (57/95) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (4/17) | 13% (2/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.69 | 0.47 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
65% (11/17) | 84% (16/19) |
Duels won |
---|
60 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.23 | 1.19 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.23 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Develi E. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Wesley Moraes ⚽, Kurukalip C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dere A. ↓, Lus S. ↑,
- 53', Silva M. 🟨,
- 58', Dembele P. M. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 63', Kurukalip C. 🟨,
- 67', Caliskan O. 🟨,
- 72', Dovedan N. ↓, Gurpuz G. ↑,
- 77', Camara M. ↓, Nahirci O. ↑,
- 79', Traore A. 🟨,
- 85', Silva M. ↓, Caulker S. ↑,
- 89', Ulvan T. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
- 90+1', Dursun S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Sengul A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
- 90+4', Camacho J. ↓, Demiroglu B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor 50.9% | Draw 25.3% | Keçiörengücü 23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.82 ↑ (1.67) |
3.68 ↓ (3.82) |
3.92 ↓ (4.54) |
7.5% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fatih Karagümrükspor will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Keçiörengücü could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Karagümrük is a favorite.
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Ersoy O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Donertas K.
(Suspended)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:15 (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Keçiörengücü?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Keçiörengücü has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
22.12.2024
Keçiörengücü
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
0:1
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Adana Demirspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Istanbulspor AS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Sakaryaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Amedspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Hatayspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Pendikspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Sariyer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sivasspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Boluspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Vanspor FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Bandirmaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Keciorengucu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Umraniyespor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Erzurumspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Corum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bodrumspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Manisa FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Erokspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Serik Spor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Igdir FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation