Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 36
- Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (203/290) | 77% (318/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (203/290) | 77% (318/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/56) | 50% (31/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (61/113) | 60% (57/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Develi E. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Wesley Moraes ⚽, Kurukalip C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dere A. ↓, Lus S. ↑,
- 53', Silva M. 🟨,
- 58', Dembele P. M. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 63', Kurukalip C. 🟨,
- 67', Caliskan O. 🟨,
- 72', Dovedan N. ↓, Gurpuz G. ↑,
- 77', Camara M. ↓, Nahirci O. ↑,
- 79', Traore A. 🟨,
- 85', Silva M. ↓, Caulker S. ↑,
- 89', Ulvan T. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
- 90+1', Dursun S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Sengul A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
- 90+4', Camacho J. ↓, Demiroglu B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
50.9% | Draw
25.3% | Keçiörengücü
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.67) |
3.68 ↓
(3.82) |
3.92 ↓
(4.54) |
7.5%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fatih Karagümrükspor will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Keçiörengücü could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Karagümrük is a favorite.
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Ersoy O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Donertas K.
(Suspended)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:15 (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Keçiörengücü?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Keçiörengücü has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
22.12.2024
Keçiörengücü
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
0:1
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:9 | 16 | 21 |
| 2 | Corum | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Amedspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Pendikspor | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Vanspor FK | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Sakaryaspor | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 18 | Sariyer | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:40 | -36 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
