Köln vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 13
  • Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStartimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, Startimes World Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.14
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
84% (483/573)82% (329/403)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.620.31
Total shots
115
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
159
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
66
Passes
84% (483/573)82% (329/403)
Long passes
39% (26/67)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
63% (53/84)65% (74/114)
Crosses
17% (2/12)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.32
Throw-ins
287
Fouls
66
Tackles
56% (5/9)50% (8/16)
Duels won
3036
Clearances
2328
Interceptions
413
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.312.62
Goals prevented
-0.691.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Wahl H. , Dzwigala A. ,
  • 51', 1 - 0, El Mala S. , Waldschmidt L. (A),
  • 68', Pereira Lage M. , Metcalfe C. ,
  • 68', Kaars M. , Jones R.J. ,
  • 73', Bulter M. , Ache R. ,
  • 73', Huseinbasic D. , Johannesson I. ,
  • 73', Sands J. , Sinani D. ,
  • 82', Krauss T. , Kainz F. ,
  • 83', El Mala S. , Maina L. ,
  • 86', Mets K. , Ceesay A. ,
  • 88', Waldschmidt L. , Lund K. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Jones R.J. , Sinani D. (A),
  • 90+5', Jones R.J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/42mn79rz

Chances of winning


Köln
47.1%
Draw
27.4%
St. Pauli
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 25.3% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 25.7% 26.8%

Köln - St. Pauli Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.03
(1.97)
3.5
(3.76)
3.73
(3.6)
4.6%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Köln - St. Pauli?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 28 - 68.3%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 9 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 54.1%82.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - St. Pauli (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - St. Pauli (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - St. Pauli (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Köln (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Pauli will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Köln (votes: 2 - 22.2%). St. Pauli (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Köln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Köln is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Köln: Heintz D. (Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Schmied J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Muscle Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 2.8:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
    Latest results of Köln
    29.11.2025 Werder Bremen - Köln 1:1
    02.11.2025 Köln - Hamburger SV 4:1
    29.10.2025 Köln - Bayern Munich 1:4
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich18162071:145750
    2Dortmund18116135:171839
    3Hoffenheim17103435:211433
    4Stuttgart18103533:26733
    5RB Leipzig17102533:24932
    6Bayer Leverkusen1792634:25929
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1876538:39-127
    8Freiburg1866629:31-224
    9Union Berlin1866624:27-324
    10FC Koln1855827:30-320
    11B. Monchengladbach1855823:29-620
    12Wolfsburg1854927:38-1119
    13Werder Bremen1746721:34-1318
    14Hamburger SV1745817:27-1017
    15Augsburg18441020:35-1516
    16Heidenheim18341117:39-2213
    17Mainz18261018:31-1312
    18St. Pauli17331116:31-1512

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga