Result
1:1
06/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 13
- Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (483/573) | 82% (329/403) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (483/573) | 82% (329/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/67) | 42% (19/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (53/84) | 65% (74/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 2.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | 1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Wahl H. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 0, El Mala S. ⚽, Waldschmidt L. (A),
- 68', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
- 68', Kaars M. ↓, Jones R.J. ↑,
- 73', Bulter M. ↓, Ache R. ↑,
- 73', Huseinbasic D. ↓, Johannesson I. ↑,
- 73', Sands J. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,
- 82', Krauss T. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
- 83', El Mala S. ↓, Maina L. ↑,
- 86', Mets K. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
- 88', Waldschmidt L. ↓, Lund K. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Jones R.J. ⚽, Sinani D. (A),
- 90+5', Jones R.J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/42mn79rz
Chances of winning
Köln
47.1% | Draw
27.4% | St. Pauli
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Köln - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.97) |
3.5 ↓
(3.76) |
3.73 ↑
(3.6) |
4.6%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Köln - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 28 - 68.3%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 9 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 54.1% – 82.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Köln (votes: 2 - 28.6%). St. Pauli (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - St. Pauli (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - St. Pauli (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - St. Pauli (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Köln (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Köln (votes: 3 - 27.3%). St. Pauli (votes: 8 - 72.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Köln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Köln is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Köln: Heintz D.
(Injury)
Hubers T.
(Knee Injury)
Kilian L.
(Knee Injury)
Schmied J.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A.
(Muscle Injury)
Nemeth D.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 2.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against St. Pauli?
Köln has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Köln?
St. Pauli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - St. Pauli were as follows:
Latest results of St. Pauli
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 97:25 | 72 | 70 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 58:28 | 30 | 61 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 54:39 | 15 | 50 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 52:36 | 16 | 46 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 50:51 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31:46 | -15 | 31 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Mainz | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 | B. Monchengladbach | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 33:46 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:47 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Koln | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:47 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 24:44 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 35:57 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 27:61 | -34 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
