Köln vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
0:1
20/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 15
  • Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStartimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 11
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 3
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Sport 2
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.22
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
87% (450/520)78% (241/309)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.090.76
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
189
Passes
87% (450/520)78% (241/309)
Long passes
33% (14/42)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
55% (53/96)55% (48/87)
Crosses
33% (8/24)41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.06
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
918
Tackles
56% (5/9)43% (3/7)
Duels won
4645
Clearances
4335
Interceptions
23
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.760.09
Goals prevented
-0.240.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Sebulonsen S. 🟨,
  • 40', Trimmel C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Krauss T. 🟨,
  • 58', Ache R. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
  • 64', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
  • 68', Krauss T. ↓, Huseinbasic D. ↑,
  • 68', Thielmann J. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
  • 72', Trimmel C. ↓, Juranovic J. ↑,
  • 73', Ansah I. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
  • 73', Burke O. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
  • 80', Kemlein A. 🟨,
  • 83', van den Berg R. 🟥,
  • 84', Kemlein A. ↓, Schafer A. ↑,
  • 86', Heintz D. ↓, Ozkacar C. ↑,
  • 86', Kaminski J. ↓, Maina L. ↑,
  • 88', Schafer A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Schafer A. ⚽,
  • 90+4', Juranovic J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Ronnow F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Köln
36.8%		Draw
29.3%		Union Berlin
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 28% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 27.5% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
    •

    Köln - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.6 ↑
    (2.31)    		 3.27 ↓
    (3.4)    		 2.83 ↓
    (3.08)    		 4.4%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Köln - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.7% – 63.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Köln (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Union Berlin (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.
    • Köln is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Union Berlin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Schmied J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Bogdanov D. (Injury) Haberer J. (Yellow Cards) Markgraf A. (Leg Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Köln won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - Union Berlin were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Köln - Union Berlin 3:2
    20.12.2023 Union Berlin - Köln 2:0
    04.03.2023 Union Berlin - Köln 0:0
    11.09.2022 Köln - Union Berlin 0:1
    Latest results of Köln
    13.12.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Köln 2:0 ✺
    06.12.2025 Köln - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Werder Bremen - Köln 1:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Köln - Eintracht Frankfurt 3:4 ✺
    08.11.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    12.12.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 3:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 3:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺
    29.11.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 1:2 ✺
    23.11.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 0:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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